The Russian peacekeeping force has entered the Nagorno-Karabakh region and is working to establish 16 observation points to monitor the ceasefire regime. According to updated information, the core of the force is made up of units of the 15th Separate Motorized Rifle Brigade “Alexandria” and the Military Police.
Russian forces have already taken control of the Lachin corridor, which links Armenia with Karabakh. The Armenian town of Goris is being using by the Russians as the build-up area for further deployment. The tasks of Russian observation posts in Karabakh, according to the Russian General Staff, are the following:
collecting information on ceasefire violations and communicating this information to the peacekeepers’ command;
maintaining the safety of free transit and transport;
suppression of illegal actions against the civilian population.
As it was revealed earlier, the deployment includes 1,960 personnel, 90 armored personnel carriers, 380 motorized vehicles and special equipment. The deployment includes BTR-82A, Tigr, Typhoon armoured vehicles as well as Mi-8 and Mi-24 military helicopters which will be used to monitor the ceasefire together with reconnaissance drones. Photos and videos from the ground also showed specialized electronic equipment and even battle tanks. The tanks were not noticed as a part of the peacekeeping force. So, most likely they will remain in the Lachin corridor area only, on the Armenian side of the border.
The deployment of Turkish peacekeepers to Nagorno-Karabakh boasted of by Ankara appears to equate to the participation of the Turkish side in the ceasefire monitoring center with Russia. Ankara and Moscow have already signed a memorandum of understanding on its creation. The center will be located on Azerbaijani-controlled territory and will allow the coordination of ceasefire monitoring efforts and the review of ceasefire violation complaints.
The Azerbaijani side also reported that it has already started to set up policing units on the territories it has taken during the war. Meanwhile, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev promised to turn the areas captured from the self-proclaimed Armenian Republic of Nagorno-Karabakh into a paradise.
“Our people’s unity will enable us to bring back life to the liberated territories. Karabakh will be reborn. It will be revived and reinvigorated. It will become a real paradise,” Aliyev said. According to him, Baku is now going to focus on demining and securing the retaken territory as well as restoring infrastructure there.
These developments come amid a developing political crisis in Armenia. Last night, the opposition was unable to dismiss the country’s prime minister Nikol Pashinyan, who is still in hiding, because of a lack of quorum in the Parliament. At the same time, security forces started arresting protesters and opposition leaders demanding the resignation of the cabinet.
The crisis was accompanied by revelations of Arayik Harutyunyan, the President of the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic, who claimed that the Armenian forces had suffered from a lack of proper command, manpower, equipment and combat morale in the crucial days of the war.
“When we were supposed to go to Yehnikner with our elite units and the Armenian special forces, our units refused to go there. I asked, begged, said that I would go ahead, but received a negative answer! They didn’t go with me, they left the President of their country alone,” Harutyunyan said.
The president added that 18-20-year-old conscripts were the main forces fighting against the Azerbaijani military and its allies in Karabakh. The statement of the Karabakh leader highlights the real state of events and the lack of authentic and much needed assistance from the government of Armenia to the self-proclaimed republic during the war.
In 2018 German DGAP and London-based IISS released a study about how EU battle groups could occupy the Caucasus in 2020 after a war between Armenia and Azerbaijan:
“The resulting Dubai Treaty provided for an immediate ceasefire, restoration of ter-
ritory to the status quo ante bellum and a military annex modelled on that of the 1995 Dayton peace agreement.
…
The assumed maxi-
mum EUFOR–SC footprint in AO is approximately 60,000 EU troops. To cover the critical period D-3 to D+30, a quick-reaction amphibious battlegroup is required, to be based in the Black Sea.
…
Requirement for 250 sorties a day, of which 80–100 could provide close-air support. A minimum of 150 multi-role combat aircraft are required. This total could include armed uninhabited aerial vehicles (UAVs) if available, as well as one or two squadrons of attack helicopters”
https://dgap.org/system/files/article_pdfs/protecting_europe.pdf (p.10-16)
“For example, since the middle of the first decade of this millenium, the Bundeswehr has dispatched soldiers, as advisors, to Armenia and invited Armenian military personnel for advanced training and maneuvers to Germany.”
https://www.german-foreign-policy.com/en/news/detail/7715/
Armenia/Georgia – aSERBaijan NATO IPAP agreement. Bernard Lewis map. Deutche bank trillion trash depth.
RT today, Tom Fowdy…..Trump has 2 months left to attack Iran, and here’s why he might…….In addition to that, Benjamin Netanyahu recognizes that he will never have it as good with the US as he has it right now. The Trump administration has been devoutly pro-Israel, the Obama administration was not, and thus with Biden, it’s only downhill from here. Given this, Tel Aviv may be looking for some permanent crippling of Iran’s capabilities, which sanctions alone cannot deliver, it would want to maximize its own leverage before the new administration rows anything back. The only way to do that is via military means……..
I think I understand the bloodthirst that consumes both the US and Israel, it’s a satanic craving that they seemingly can’t quench, however I know that Iran, from their revolution in 1978, have not been idly twiddeling their thumbs, they’ve long prepared for the inevitable day that Israel could finally coax, through any means possible, the craven US to attack it, on their behalf. It won’t be a walk in the park, the US would suffer more than substantial casualties and the infrastructure in Israel would be decimated, regardless of deaths. This absolute, moral-sapping, devastation would be the death knell of the Khazars dream in the ME and probably the final chapter in America’s road to complete collapse.
War against China.!!??
Furthermore, the German Navy has already started joint training program with the Australian Navy and the eventual stationing of German vessels in Pacific region.
Moderator do your moderation and I apologise for this lengthy post…Thanks..
Moderator: Righto guvna’
But here is the official German translation from the official German foreign policy website Video, which is better than that automatically generated from YouTube.
“ https://www.german-foreign-policy.com/en/news/textversion-columns/no-8-july-august-2019/
Here is the Youtube reference with official English translation.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5V68uj2sXPU&feature=youtu.be
War against China.
There is a reflex in Europe that is detrimental to China. It is the downside of the respectful awe at China’s vastness, its size, its culture, and statehood. By comparison, Europe appears tiny. The comparison mitigates the error of being incomparable.
China is greater.
“Keeping China down,” always has been in vain. To “keep China down,” violence is needed, and if necessary, warfare against China. Nearly every act of violence, at least in Berlin, had been considered morally justified to humiliate China.
The German Empire dispatched its troops to crush the “fists of justice and harmony” – a Chinese resistance movement. Kaiser Wilhelm, personally – here in front of German soldiers on their way to China – called for carnage.
” No quarter will be given! Prisoners will not be taken! Just as a thousand years ago the Huns (…) made a name for themselves (…) may the name German in China be affirmed by you in such a way that for a thousand years no Chinese will dare to look cross-eyed at a German.”
The German heroes of this carnage were honored by the Weimar State … heroized during German fascism … and are immortalized in street names in the Federal Republic of Germany. The capital Berlin commemorates these criminals and their cannons in the south of the city; in Cologne, there is a “Chinese Quarters,” where, not Chinese names are commemorated, but rather those of their German murderers. The commemoration honors the executioners of German global policy and historicizes German projection of power, that sought to “keep China down.”
This projection of power is currently again the issue – at the 2018 annual alignment of global military policy in Munich.
“China develops a comprehensive alternative system to the western” economy, complained Germany’s foreign minister, and appealed for “courage” in “power projection:”
“Europe needs a common global projection of power. It should never concentrate solely on the military, nor totally renounce it.”
Europe has never renounced military power at China’s borders. The military was ruthlessly called in during the Korean War, and the Vietnam War. The Federal Republic of Germany was a technical participant, as napalm and phosphorous devastated Vietnam. Journalistic agitation was aimed at the “Vietcong,” the barefoot soldiers – a sort of red devil. The “Dragon,” neighboring China – over whose routes and harbors war supplies were helping to curb the West’s wars in Asia – was considered no less diabolical.
The racist depictions of the people during the Vietnam and Korean Wars are being revived today.
Asian masses, eating up the global resources, such as suggested here in a journal in Berlin – turning the truth about Berlin and Europe, which are nourished from the blood of the victims of their colonial rule on its head…. This racist depiction is each time illustrated differently, for example, as China about to put the world into its mouth with chopsticks. We are being devoured and should defend ourselves.
These hysterics facilitate violence. In business journals, talk of war, has become routine: customs war, war of sanctions, and war of the systems. …
Therefore, taking up arms seems logical. At China’s Indo-Pacific borders, a ring of violence has been formed that potentially threatens nuclear annihilation.
Will Germany remain neutral? Will it lead “Europe’s” charge against China, in the transatlantic alliance? Germany is building up its armament with a crescendo of billions.
German arms companies were already pushing to have a share in the weaponized ring around China, to “keep China down” from the sea. In the western alliance, Germany is reinforcing that ring, as West Germany before, when it shared logistics and technology, but above all, lots of money and the racist depiction leading to a slaughterhouse in Vietnam.
Germany is not neutral. It is about to join the front.
However, unlike before, today’s weapons can reach Berlin directly from Asia’s battlefield. … Don’t be deceived.
Europe is tiny in comparison. China is greater…“`
And, as usual for a western think tank, this study group made their projections without taking the russians into account. Did they really believed the russians would allow 60000 troops from a potentially hostile political block to be deployed in Caucasus?
Why not? They have already Turkey at the gates, i.e. NATO in Azerbaidjan.
This is the result:
https://youtu.be/ys2mpSuYh0U
They screwed all around. Remains to hope that one day Putin will move out from Cremlin that way…
Oh no, you don’t need to remain me of Pashinian, Moscow overslept the coup as it did with Youschenko etc. in Ukraine. Erdogan rules.
Who said that the turkeys aren’t potential hostiles? And that the russians aren’t aware?
Still, there isn’t an official shooting war between Russia and Turkey. Not yet. So far, we have only maneuvering and posturing, but nothing serious.
The EU is not only potentially hostile. Merkel wants to win the war against Russia:
“I am a hundred percent convinced that with our principles, we will win.”
http://german-foreign-policy.com/en/fulltext/58825
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B4WQbnJz3Mc&t=47m
“Hard power politics – Clausewitzian influence over alienated state regimes. Some alien-
ated regimes will still exist in 2020 – the key uncertainty here being the Kremlin. If so, we will need to retain a capability to meet their deliberate challenges to our vision of the world. This will require hard military power, but also an increased focus on asymmetrical forms of destruction, notably in the cybersphere. This is of major concern to the East-
ern members of the EU, and if the ESDP is unable to provide this then they will turn to NATO or directly to the US.”
https://web.archive.org/web/20091015011522/http://www.iss.europa.eu/uploads/media/What_ambitions_for_European_defence_in_2020.pdf
In thier strategy papers German governments openly demand:
“expansion to the East”
“outwards it is essential to achieve something whereby we have failed twice before”
“Maintenance of free world trade and the unchecked access to markets and raw materials all over the world”
“Without Germany it is impossible to integrate the East European peoples.”
http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=632_1323437313
It’s clear Armenia did not support NK
They did not send their army there
What was the agenda of Pashiyan? And where possibly could he be hiding ( American embassy has been suggested.
They would defend their puppet.
If Armenia are serious they need to sack the whole government or stop crying
NK is still there – people are still there – what are they going to do about this sacred place they love so much?
There is still a diplomatic fight to engage in about the status of NK
And the people should sit there and use all their powers of PR in the diaspora to get autonomous status.
Those Russian peacekeepers need to never leave as the way Azerbaijan and turkey are behaving there will be ethnic cleansing.
Being a western stooge, probably Pashinyan hoped for the russians to get deeply involved in NK. I guess he failed to read the fine print in that mutual defense agreement between Russia and Armenia, which stated that russian army would help only if the Armenia proper is endangered. Despite being populated by armenians (after being ethnically cleansed in the 90s), NK territory isn’t actually part of Armenia.
Erdogan is quite patient, he made a step and recalculates. You can bet on Russia will be out of there not later than in 5 years. It is clearly stipulated in the agreement. Poor Armenians, poor people of NKR – that punk Pashinian is a hard lesson to be learned. With that example and the one of Ukraine, Georgia and Moldova now and for long Belarus is safe.
Keep your eyes open – Kazakhstan is next to be tested.
You may have missed, overlooked, or in your own calculus not considered that Putin and the Russian Military and Foreign Service, especially the SVR and GRU, have a plan for every parcel of turf that surrounds Russia or borders waters that touch Russia.They have long ago built the capacity, the logistics, the manpower, to act in minutes and hours to move with force into any sector they need to stabilize.
Georgia, Donbass, Chechnya, Dagestan, Ingushetia, Armenia, N-K, Azerbaijan, the Arctic, the Baltics, Belarus, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Iran, Turkey, Transnistria, Ukraine, Moldova, Romania, Bulgaria, Finland, Norway, Sweden, Poland, Hungary, Germany, Mongolia, Japan, North Korea, and China—Nothing surprises the Kremlin. The Kremlin surprises all of them. Most of all, the Kremlin surprises the US.
It remains to wish your optimism is real and not a mere dream or fake impression. What will be the status of NKR now, an administrative part of Azerbaijan? That seems to be a weaker position than for the last 30 years and compared with the usual tactics of Kremlin – freeze the conflict, ex. Pridnestrovie, Ossetia…
Consider Moscow would have jumped in the NKR at the beginning, some 40000 lives as minimum could have been spared. Azeris instigated by Turkey began the 6 weeks war, where are the sanctions, we haven’t even seen an UN Security Council procedure. Very sad indeed. Including the strategy of Russia as you described it: to wait until surrounded, than wait for being ambushed and first then react. I am pretty sure not every Russian general is happy about it.
Have the Russians already outlined the conditions which trigger their subsequent withdrawal?
IF there is one thing that is needed to ensure that colonialism does not start to emerge it is to put strict time limits and scenarios on troops moving in anywhere. Be it by Russia, the USA, NATO or anyone else.
Turks and Azeris like only Turkish culture. Russians should not be in a rush to leave. Armenians would be ethnically cleansed of the area, the instant Russia leave. Russia does not have a colonial mentality like the US and Israel.
Armenians will leave NK anyway. In a couple of years. Only idiot can decide his family to live in such circumstances.
After 1. December, N. Karabah will be surrounded from all sides by Azerbaijan army and Azeri people.
No future for Armenians there.
It is over. Russian peacekeepers can prevent massacre but cannot create conditions for prosperous existence of Armenian people in N. Karabah.
The empire is in a globewide retreat.
The stampede withdrawal of the heavy brigade. In 2013 the warships turned back home in Syria.
In Feb and March 2014 the glorious fleet heading to the Black Sea turned 180º upon two hundred Russians takeover of two Crimean airports.
In 2016 the ‘brave of the land’ were forced to
1- In 2015 they said the russian airforce group in Syria was vulnerable… but
concluded it was not.
2- In 2016 to say they would still combat (their hired) jihadis in eastern Syria because their proxy war was lost.
3- In 2017 and 18 they quit the idea of scaring the North Korean s back from their missile and nuke program.
4- In 2020 in January, withdraw from threaten to backlash an Iranian missile strike to the IRAQUI bases.
Great news that Aliyev has implemented the peace deal and Russian soldiers have arrived!
The risk was always that Aliyev would renege the deal at the last minute, like Croatia’s Tudjman did in 1995, and then use his foreign backers to finish off the Orthodox Christians in his territory.
But Aliyev is no Tudjman. He has so far has shown to be a man of his word, sticking to his part of the deal and he has allowed the Armenians to stay in NK.
As for the deal itself, it appears that both Armenia and Azerbaijan have “corridor” arrangements” with their enclaves ( NK-Armenia and Azerbaijan & Nakhchivan) so both sides have an incentive to respect the deal.
Iran and Russia can be role models for co-existence between the two groups, especially Iran. Azerbaijan will have to tell the Turks and the Israelis to leave. Armenia will have to tell Soros, NGOs, and the World Food Programme (WFP) to leave.
If everyone does their part, this could be the start of new long-term peace in the region.
……But Aliyev is no Tudjman……….
Sorry, how do you know that? Is it possible that you have the seeing power like Baba Vanga or do you know people from his environment, the service? I see that you are as optimistic as Saker. I saw Armenians burn down their houses and leave. …..Did you experience something similar when you are optimisticaly writing about or is it only a wishfull thinking to appease yourself?
….Iran. Azerbaijan will have to tell the Turks and the Israelis to leave. Armenia will have to tell Soros, NGOs, and the World Food Programme (WFP) to leave……let¨s see?
I wouldnt bet that Aliyev is not the same Franjo…what about croat – Iran herritage theory?
Jews feels same love towards Ukies, Croats, or Iranians despite the Fact Persian culture is at least class or two higher…