By Pepe Escobar – posted with permission
It’s geopolitical, geoeconomic war. Cold, so far, but now about to descend to deep freeze. The US National Security Strategy unmistakably spells it out. China is a strategic competitor and must be contained, no holds barred, on all fronts: economic, military and most of all, technological.
Enter the current, concerted offensive across the spectrum, from 5G and AI to moves attempting to prevent the coming of globalization 2.0. Add to it maximum pressure all over the world to prevent nations from joining the New Silk Roads, or Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), the organizing foreign policy concept for China in the foreseeable future and the strategic road map for Eurasian integration up to 2049.
It’s all interconnected; the Trump administration’s trade war, Google blocking Huawei from the enhanced Android OS, the demonization of Belt and Road. It’s all about control of global supply chains and technological infrastructure.
Huawei is not a pawn but the Queen in the tech-war chessboard. In an environment where Chinese IT companies are fast climbing the ranks in terms of registering scientific patents, Huawei is already first among equals. From techno-scientific knowledge to applied research and creative market solutions, China tech is posing a concerted “threat” to American tech. This is the heart of the geopolitical and geoeconomic clash between the hegemon and the aspiring superpower.
Pressure over Germany, UK and Italy, for instance, based on a fuzzy “economic aggression” concept, won’t force these industrialized nations to discard Huawei, because they can profit from Huawei’s leadership on 5G to create their own ‘smart’ or safe cities.
Fragmenting global supply chains – as the Trump administration is aiming at – also does not cut it, as interdependence still rules. Some 22% of Huawei products carry US components, and the Snapdragon chip from American Qualcomm is featured in most Chinese smartphones.
What matters most is how Made in China is coming up with creative total packages, privileging added value for business, as it targets a mass of global customers, private and corporate. This process is at the heart of Made in China 2025, which aims to sever dependence on Western technology and configure China as a global leader in AI, cloud services, the Internet of Things (IoT), industrial automation 4.0, biotechnology, aerospace. Goodbye low-cost mass manufacturing. Hello to a cloud of emerging technologies.
‘Asianomics’ is the way to go
In ‘AI Super-powers: China, Silicon Valley and the New World Order,’ venture capitalist Kai-Fu Lee, with decades of experience on both sides of the tech pond, conclusively shows how technology “will drive a wedge between the AI superpowers and the rest of the world, and may divide society along class lines” miming “dystopian science fiction.”
The US and China are already AI superpowers because, apart from top talent and research labs, they can count on “a large base of users and a vibrant entrepreneurial and venture-capital ecosystem”.
Across Eurasia, following the BRI footprint, China is bound to rule, on 5G and AI, from Southeast Asia to Southwest Asia and all the way to Africa.
That leaves Western Europe as the key geoeconomic battleground, on internet and internet services, to be conquered by Huawei and other Chinese tech companies. It’s always important to remember that a great majority of so-called US “allies” – especially in Asia but also in vast swathes of Europe – now do more trade or investment with China than with the US.
5G will establish a new techno paradigm in robotics applied to industrial production, remote control surgery, new AI-driven transportation solutions, the logistics of distribution, and scores of other specialized fields. Think, for instance, shipping containers engaged in autonomous communication – in a high-speed free flow of interconnection.
In this new environment, Huawei is leaner, meaner, cheaper, more innovative, and their products consume less energy. Add to it that Chinese companies are keen to experiment with telecom operators, for instance investing in research centers and labs in Europe, such as the Huawei Transparency and Cyber Security Center in Brussels.
Not only China, but Asia as a whole is becoming the privileged 21st-century tech development engine. Welcome, thus, to “Asianomics”.
This means that Huawei, even under attack by the US government and spurned by Google, will have no problems finding other Chinese and Asian suppliers. In fact, count on Beijing to forcefully rally all China tech majors to develop all component technologies that China still lacks. Precedents abound. Let’s take a look at one of the most important.
Innovate or die
In September 2014, Premier Li Keqiang addressed the Chinese “Summer Davos” in Tianjin to explain how technological innovation was essential in creating growth and modernizing the Chinese economy.
These speeches usually consist of a somnolent litany of jargons and exhortations. But this time Li came up with a new, unheard of, slogan: “Mass entrepreneurship and mass innovation”. And that soon became the rallying cry for a government-driven process of fostering startup ecosystems and supporting technological innovation.
In July 2015, China’s State Council – which comes up with all the big policies that matter – issued a major directive; from now on everybody should join the “mass entrepreneurship and innovation” bandwagon. The aim was to create thousands of technology incubators, entrepreneurship zones and “guiding funds”, backed by Beijing, to seduce more private venture capital, in parallel to sexy tax policies and streamlined government permits necessary to start a business.
This is how it works in China. The central government may lay down the main goals. But implementation is totally local – as in thousands of mayors and local officials. These people only get promoted inside the vast bureaucracy through performance. And the examiners are of course big wigs in the Chinese Communist Party’s human resources department. So it’s easy to imagine the frenzy when Beijing sets clear goals and targets. Go for it – or disappear into career oblivion.
That’s exactly what’s going to happen next. Beijing will tell China tech to reach the next level. Anyone who’s been to frantic tech-experiment-hub Shenzhen knows what this means. The US crackdown on Huawei will inevitably backfire.
Huawei has now accelerated the commercial implementation of its own operating system, which will be thoroughly adapted for global markets. Their Plan B is now Plan A – with a vengeance. Never underestimate the power of unintended consequences; Huawei breaking Google’s de facto monopoly may be just around the (tech) corner.
The lyrics from an old rock song by the Moody Blues comes to mind, “traveling in panic, all direction blind. ” For me, this describes the US Empire as it flails wildly to maintain superiority. Decline is all but assured and China will continue to rise.
And I suspect that the Chinese will NOT sanction, subvert, sabotage and militarily attack and destroy other states, unlike the USA.
No, but they will buy up infrastructure and property, and holding it hostage, dictate who gets or doesn’t get permission to do what and where in other nations. A sounder strategy, and the only ones to blame will be the local government for allowing this to happen by selling out to China.
Rubbish. They haven’t done it, and will not. You are just projecting really existing ‘Western Moral Values’ of greed, parasitism and larceny, as practised for 500 years, onto China. In fact only a handful of over 1000 OBOR projects have so far gotten into financial stress, and conditions were amicably re-negotiated. And China often forgives debt obligations, particularly in Africa. The Western economic hit-men of the IMF, World Bank etc, in contrast, screw their victims mercilessly, habitually demanding cuts in health, education, housing etc, to finance repayments, and imposing privatisation larceny on their hapless victims.
And right he is. China is reversing the admirable results of the cultural revolution and nowadays it’s money that counts more and more. It seems that the Chinese culture has been infected by a nasty western bug…
More like Timothy Leary’s dead…….
So that’s why he’s not answering my calls….
U.S is no more fresh, positive, fascinating and respective nation generally. It’s once so great education system has collapsed and economic system is favoring mostly jurists, money hungry doctors and media talking heads (priests of ‘information society’). Technologically U.S has become slow, tired and boring. The cultural decline of America is largely confirmed fact. The last great generation of innovators were those born in early 1950’s. Since late 1980’s professors have found the collapse of skills of mathematical and physics of students.
Cultural decline is immense process and once it starts you can’t stop that process.
i’m looking forward to checking out a US Regime Safe alternative to Google Android phones and Apple IOS phones. This new URS operating system may be scruffy at first, but if China’s hardware dev is an indicator, it wont take long to march ahead.
What the cunning sigals of State have forgotten is that half of Google (and Cisco,Apple) inventions belong to Huawei,samsung and sony, tech innovation is an incremental process. If they retaliate with a ban on the use of their patents apple,google and cisco would be paralysed too.
“Huawei breaking Google’s de facto monopoly may be just around the (tech) corner.”
You can take that to the bank. Count on Google’s monopoly being taken away. Google has not attacked Huawei alone, it has taken on China Inc.
Google’s “management” had an objective and knew what they were intending was an attack on not only Huawei (an individual company) but all of China Inc. Trouble was they thought in a vacuum. They thought Huawei will either scream for relief from the govt of China, in the process causing that government to alter its policies and concede to the government of the USA, or experience commercial failure, which would hurt the government of China badly enough to make them alter policy and concede to the USA. Win/win for the USA or so they thought…….in their vacuum.
But while Google’s “management” think away in their vacuum, the reality is that on Earth we do not live in a vacuum. We do not do business in a vacuum. Attacking Huawei to squeeze the govt of China IS an attack on………. the government of China. They will respond. So, obviously enough there will be consequences. And the Chinese government has other options than merely concede to the US government or conceding to the US Govt. Looks like we are about to witness the most obvious one right away (there are others which may or may not be deployed).
In the medium term we will experience a schism in the web. It is already being called the splinternet. It will be most interesting to have such a competition. There is no telling how that will play out, although it must be doubted that it will remain a geographic partitioning. Expect a lot of people in the West to access the Chinese portion of the new web structure for services on a daily basis. In the other direction, not so much. Not much at all really.
Call this an own goal.
Now watch the damage from this rashness like ripples on a pond. Watch it spread to Hollywood, Western media, publishing, trading sites,…….
Call this several own goals.
Most of US elites do not yet realize that the US has met its match and is already checkmated. Even without Russia the US could not stop China. They have five times the population, more engineers and scientists, and a work ethic that puts the West to shame.
The US plan to stop China is doomed; it’s over before it even starts. There will be a lot of noise and US caused suffering but the trend is obvious. Someday in the future the supremacist attitude in the US will end (hopefully without a major war) with a new era of humanity beyond the post-WW2 era. The rise of the coalescing multifarious East is a gift to humanity. We just have to survive the torturous decline of the US Empire of Insanity.
Excellent post to this article. I completely agree with you in all aspects. I would add that the Chinese also work in teams – something that the individualistic mentality here does not accept – and this may be significant at this time.
Not really. Eventually China will have bitten their own ass from behind once the population demographics catch up to them from their own child-murdering abortion regime. Too few women. So unless China plans on importing girls, or kidnapping them en masse, the clock is already ticking for China, as much as it is in every other abortionist nation. Immigrants, legal or illegal, can only do so much to curb this.
The world in its entirety is going to wake up one fine day to a very shocking realization, all thanks to our inability to keep ours pants zipped up, and refusal to take responsibility for raising children and instead butchering them in the womb.
Oh, dear-a real Bannonite racist Sinophobe. It could even, to judge from the slavering hate rhetoric, be Bannon itself.
Mulgabrain, it would be more useful for you to try and debunk his arguments (which you obviously can’t, or you would have done so) than to engage in a personal attack on this poster for stating his views.
Chinese authorities themselves have admitted that their draconian single child policy has created a serious demographic problem for them, and have followed up easing up on that policy. Yet, you blindly defend a policy that the Xi administration has themselves condemned and partially rescinded. Do you think you know China better than the policy makers in Beijing?
His prejudices are, in my opinion, plainly misogynistic, Sinophobic and racist and very ignorant. The one child policy, that never applied to national minorities and was always more flexible in certain circumstances, was both a success, in that it prevented hundreds of millions more mouths to feed and stresses on the planet’s biospheres, and a relative failure in that it saw some excesses and probably lasted a bit too long, as Chinese wealth increase has already led to a more long-lasting demographic transition to smaller families.
And I am particularly opposed to misogynists like Johnno, who, inevitably, parrot their love for the unborn, yet support policies that lead to blighted lives for those born into poverty, despair or American target-sights. Moreover they care NOTHING for the INEVITABLE deaths of women in septic abortions, a plague greatly reduced by easy access to terminations. Terminations are not a good, but they are very much the lesser Evil.
Here is a “horrible” thought. How about having the baby and giving it up if you don’t want it. We don’t live in the 1950’s where women were afraid of daddy finding out his daughter is having sex. Today abortion is used as a way to avoid dealing with your actions.It’s not a need,but a want. And that isn’t an excuse for murder.
Uncle Bob, I concur with what you’ve posted, and any view to contrary is patronizing to women, sexist (because to hold women to to special standard and privilege level that puts them above children and men is morally and logically unsustainable) and stinks of the liberal cesspool that the Anglo-empire has degenerated into.
Nah, Bob-you’re generalising and being judgmental. Abortions ought to be safe, free and as rare as possible. For that you need female emancipation, free and easily available contraception, obstetric and gynaecological health services, better and more respectful sexual relations and people minding their own business and not imposing their Bronze Age Near Eastern religious prejudices on others. Abortion is not a ‘good’, but it is a lesser Evil.
In your opinion. You done nothing to substantiate your position as fact. You make a grandiose statement, present it as truth, when it is opinion.
Pepe Escobar wrote: ” China is a strategic competitor and must be contained, no holds barred, on all fronts: economic, military and most of all, technological.”
Why then, did the Anglo-American elites ship factories and technology to China. Why did they allow the Chinese to export finished products from said factories to the USA. Why do they continue to allow the Chinese to steal intellectual property.
Did the elites seriously think that China would function in a subservient role like Mexico? The Anglo-American elites created this monster. Trade sanctions against both China and Russia will force both countries to become self-reliant and boost homegrown creativity. What did they expect?
What you failed to realize is these elites are not loyal to a country , they are loyal to greed
They could careless about the USA
‘They’ got exactly what they wanted: a declining and much less powerful United States, incapable of challenging oligarch-gangster criminality.
The ‘they’ I am talking about are the Transnational Zionist Elite and it is they who are in control of the US government including White House, Dept of Justice, etc. and it is they who are purposely destroying their own originally Masonic creation the USA. The similarities between the takedown of Russia by Bolsheviks and the USA by Neocons is hardly surprising since these are all the same people.
Ultimately elites of all nations have more in common with each other than they do with the subject population of zombified slaves over which they preside. A genuinely fascist NWO is indeed what they are all working together to achieve and if they succeed it will be terrible for us and wonderful for them.
So be careful what you wish for with regards to the USA.
Pepe can cheer the Chinese sloganeering about innovation and entrepreneurship but I never been one to trust in the legalized thievery of capitalism and/or any degraded materialist philosophy. If you are buying Pepe’s own constant sloganeering about our glorious future based on completely discredited far right economic theories then you are also completely zombified.
I find the theory that ‘the Jews’ are behind every great social movement truly loony. You’d think it must be peddled by nutty Jewish supremacists who deludedly see themselves as the ‘indispensable’ geniuses behind all human endeavours. A particularly bizarre example was the claim that Jews were the driving force behind the US Civil Rights movement (there were many involved, but MLK et al were definitely goys), and similar claims were even made about the anti-apartheid struggle in South Africa.
“Why do they continue to allow the Chinese to steal intellectual property.”
“The Anglo-American elites created this monster.”
It is very telling how you try to wrap sinophobe nonsense in a criticism of “Anglo-American elites”.
@Lumpenkoenig: “Why then, did the Anglo-American elites ship factories and technology to China. Why did they allow the Chinese to export finished products from said factories to the USA. Why do they continue to allow the Chinese to steal intellectual property.”
Why indeed? The great French poet, Paul Valery, asked this same question 70 years ago: why was ‘the West’ exporting our only advantage — our technology — to the more populous, more hardworking and more socially cohesive half of the world?
Question finally answered by ‘Western Hubris’ in the post below: our Leaders (mistakenly called the ‘Elite’ or ‘Chosen’ people) are not loyal the U$, no more than they were loyal to France: they are loyal to the god, Mammon, and their religion is the Gospel of Greed. Leaders who put personal wealth and power above that of the community, and personal wealth above the health of the environment, will destroy ‘the East’ from the inside, as surely they have been destroying ‘the West’ with their 20th-21st ‘century of resource wars’.
America went to China in order to exploit its workers and reap higher profits through the production of goods there. American consumers also were able to benefit from lower prices on these goods made by Chinese workers.
Moreover, China has been effectively subsidizing (or paying imperial tribute) to America through its purchasing of US Treasury bills, which allows the Americans to live beyond their means and devour enormous amounts of goods from the rest of the world … in exchange for toilet paper dollars.
But in the upside-down world of American apologists like yourself, America is the poor innocent victim … being threatened by China.
Goebbels would be envious of you.
This is akin to how Americans whine like (removed language,MOD) about being “threatened” by this or that nation, even as the Americans wage countless wars of aggression around the world in order to subjugate and exploit these very nations–making them safe, not for democracy, but American capitalism.
As a nation, America is essentially a monstrous global parasite–but one that pathologically tries to deflect from its true nature by playing the victim who is perpetually “threatened” by evil-doers of one sort or another.
America–and American apologists of all creeds–need to grow a pair and start looking in the mirror.
But they simply don’t have the honesty to do so, and thus must point fingers at other nations.
Pathetic.
Are Trump Tariffs the Wake Up Call China Needs to Stop Subsidizing the US, Unchain the Yuan, and Bury the Dollar?
/are-trump-tariffs-the-wake-up-call-china-needs-to-stop-subsidizing-the-us-unchain-the-yuan-and-bury-the-dollar/
America: Host Or Parasite? – Michael Hudson, #121
https://soundcloud.com/guns-and-butter-1/2051-20070314-guns-and-butter
The Tariff Issue
https://www.paulcraigroberts.org/2019/05/14/the-tariff-issue/
@ Anonymous
excellent comment , jewel of psychological profile of usa.
thanks for such inspirational words. worthy of saker award.
… ” america went to china in order to exploit its workers … ” …
Yes , usa closed down many factories home and transfered them to china.
And many in usa became jobless , and detroriation of usa begun.
Whether ” deep state ” planned that , or they missed that repercussion ,
but decline of usa started. World no.1 in decline.
… ” china has been effectively subsidizing ( or paying imperial tribute ) … “…
Item that chinese factory made for 5$ to designer in usa sold it for 100$ , made them self statisfied with such a big profit margin , so many became sleepy in glory.
Imperial tribute made usa conclude there is no need for techno inventios and research , since tribute is pouring down. And that was another factor in decline.
… ” usa wage countless wars … around world in order to subjugate and exploit “…
Some statistics say usa performed 220 wars around globe in its state history .
Enormous number of innocent men killed for usa glory and thirst for world power.
Only 17 months of peace with other world countries.
…. ” america is essentially a monstrous global parasite ” …
Often , destiny of parasite is to die together with host . To cause host to die.
But , let us hope that world host , world mankind will be able to remove this parasite without being destroyed himself.
That leaves parasite to learn another hard role , stop exploiting world nations ,
to turn from parasite to equal member , like other contributing world nations.
Gens una summus.
Why do the Chinese buy American Treasury Bills? Because they run an enormous trade surplus with the US. What are they to do with the dollars? They can’t buy America … that is not politically possible. What China should have done long ago, was float their currency, let it rise and let the trade surplus fall. That they failed to do that is their own fault.
The most dangerous problem for both east and west is the impending collapse of the west. That will affect not only the the west but China as much. And Xi knows this very well, which is precisely why he didn’t sell off China’s trillion dollar treasuries: it is a means to financially stabilize the US. Because if the US collapses, so will the entire world economy.
I just saw an American Chinese chap make a good point. Destroy Huawei and its tens of thousands of researchers, engineers and technicians will not disappear. They’ll just found a couple of hundred new Huaweis, and the US position will, if anything, be even more dire.
The Chinese knew they might loose their component source – a no brainer, and probably are short selling Qualcomm stock right now. The newer tech chip replacements are probably being made right across the street from the Chinese Qualcomm Fabs, as planned. The Orange Moron is probably the best thing that happened to Beijing in decades. And U.S. propaganda will play it’s part, (also as planned) by stoking the Moron’s ego with pronouncements about how ‘China”s panicking.’ Chess expertise is not necessary. A fair checker player could beat these idiots on a bad day.
That’s the very good news that the arrogant and racist ‘Gods Upon the Earth’ in Thanatopolis DC just cannot appreciate-the Chinese system is better than theirs. Expect the Israelis to double-cross their slaves in the USA, too, and fully co-operate with China. As Willy Sutton observed, ‘…that’s where the money is’.
Apple CEO Tim Cook: This Is the Number 1 Reason We Make iPhones in China (It’s Not What You Think)
China is much more than a source of low-cost, low-skilled labor.
Cook says:
“The number one reason why we like to be in China is the people. China has extraordinary skills. And the part that’s the most unknown is there’s almost 2 million application developers in China that write apps for the iOS App Store. These are some of the most innovative mobile apps in the world, and the entrepreneurs that run them are some of the most inspiring and entrepreneurial in the world. Those are sold not only here but exported around the world.”
“China has moved into very advanced manufacturing, so you find in China the intersection of craftsman kind of skill, and sophisticated robotics and the computer science world. That intersection, which is very rare to find anywhere, that kind of skill, is very important to our business because of the precision and quality level that we like. The thing that most people focus on if they’re a foreigner coming to China is the size of the market, and obviously it’s the biggest market in the world in so many areas. But for us, the number one attraction is the quality of the people.”
“I visited ICT–they manufacture, among other things, the AirPods for us. When you think about AirPods as a user, you might think it couldn’t be that hard because it’s really small. The AirPods have several hundred components in them, and the level of precision embedded into the audio quality–without getting into really nerdy engineering–it’s really hard. And it requires a level of skill that’s extremely high.”
“It’s not designed and sent over, that sounds like there’s no interaction. The truth is, the process engineering and process development associated with our products require innovation in and of itself. Not only the product but the way that it’s made, because we want to make things in the scale of hundreds of millions, and we want the quality level of zero defects. That’s always what we strive for, and the way that you get there, particularly when you’re pushing the envelope in the type of materials that you have, and the precision that your specifications are forcing, requires a kind of hand in glove partnership. You don’t do it by throwing it over the chasm. It would never work. I can’t imagine how that would be.”
“There’s a confusion about China. The popular conception is that companies come to China because of low labor cost. I’m not sure what part of China they go to but the truth is China stopped being the low labor cost country many years ago. And that is not the reason to come to China from a supply point of view. The reason is because of the skill, and the quantity of skill in one location and the type of skill it is.”
“The products we do require really advanced tooling, and the precision that you have to have, the tooling and working with the materials that we do are state of the art. And the tooling skill is very deep here. In the US you could have a meeting of tooling engineers and I’m not sure we could fill the room. In China you could fill multiple football fields.”
“The vocational expertise is very very deep here, and I give the education system a lot of credit for continuing to push on that even when others were de-emphasizing vocational. Now I think many countries in the world have woke up and said this is a key thing and we’ve got to correct that. China called that right from the beginning.”
https://www.inc.com/glenn-leibowitz/apple-ceo-tim-cook-this-is-number-1-reason-we-make-iphones-in-china-its-not-what-you-think.html
pogohere
Thank you for that timely reminder. I had forgotten.
I’m sure you’re following Ramin Mazaheri’s series on the Cultural Revolution here at the Saker. It’s a beautiful thought that Mao the great revolutionary invested the revolution itself into the human capital of his country, and created millions upon millions of newly educated people, the peasantry that had thirsted for millennia for such a thing.
Mao must get a large part of the credit for TIm Cook’s statement that Apple is in China because of the extraordinary quality of its people.
The Chinese themselves got rid of everything of Mao’s that didn’t work.
China is not the model of communism all college educated morons and admirers of Marx and Mao long for.
They smartly ditched what didn’t work incrementally over time as a practical measure.
What is there now is the Communist layout of government with authoritarian power, but with an economy that is left to run on its own, only with intervention when the tyrants deem necessary.
It’s more akin to how the Catholic Monarchies of the West functioned, with the exception that the Monarchs had moral limitations whereas the Communist Party is absolute; these were overthrown by Masonic revolutionaries, taking up phony democracy, and then ditching the economic ethics of the Church, then which morphed into the crony capitalism of today. Though in reality, the west, and the EU are essentially underground communist states with a visage of democracy, and these are essentially communist nations fighting each other for global control. The Chinese just happen to be more honest, though China itself has long been aided behind the scenes by the same oligarch families and bankers.
Mao was a useful idiot along with Marx and co. who served the interests of a very elite few who serve no nationality.
A really malicious and racist hard Right buffoon calls Mao a ‘useful idiot’. The irony is incomparable, the stupidity, alas, pretty routine on the Bannonite Right.
“Never underestimate the power of unintended consequences; Huawei breaking Google’s de facto monopoly may be just around the (tech) corner.”
Wooptidoo, marvelous, that will be the day. I truly hate all of the bloated resource- and user-unfriendly Google vapourware. Dear Huawei, please provide us with an alternative for Android and Google ‘Play’.
Huawei is not alone, ZTE was attacked previously, while the Kirin ‘cpu’ is amongst the top four performing chips, the improvements in batteries have exceeded the US and European phones and china wants to bring high to middle range performance to cheap third world phones without overloading the hardware.
Huawei’s HongMeng OS has been worked on since 2012, Linux based, it has already won awards in China for innovation and performance. It is already been deployed in some models (Kirin OS?), and it is much more than Android replacement.
It seems Huawei has been working on a scalable OS, one that can be striped down for devices, make the best of cheap phones, be the basis for the most advanced, run tablets, and desktops and I assume servers as well, that opens a lot of doors all at once, and there are some scattered statements that it is touted to replace MS Windows as well.
This suggests that the same platform may be almost software agnostic, which is partially the case on Linux distributions that can run Wine (MS apps) and Anbox (Andriod apps). These do not emulate the entire OS, just run the programs as if they were part of linux.
To get performance from such a setup usually means a lot of hot chips running and a mass of memory. HongMeng OS is rumoured to use a lot of parallel processing all 8 cores processing parts of one application together, each part being lightwieght and processed together without sitting in cache. This would explain why they can plan to bring more power to cheap phones without expensive hardware for performance.
The problem is that the apps are not designed to run that way, which is generally the reason we see so little or none parallel processing despite multi-core cpus being designed to do so. There is a in other words a missing element.
The Kirin chip is an ARM design (compatible to Windows) has parallel abilities plus a neural network processor (apparently of two kinds). Using this could be the key to running apps as if they were written for parallel processing, and may also be part of why the touted OS has been rumoured as a cross platform replacement.
Of course HongMeng OS’ Plan A was to be released more fully in the future, after having been seamlessly introduced on phones as a Andriod running OS. Its Plan B, protection from the US has now jumped in, to become the new Plan A. I do not expect across spectrum introduction, nor that all the may develop in the near feature will be available soon, but the horizon of development possibilities for computing have just been widened to a significant degree if most of the above holds in practise.
I have just been looking at some of Huawie’s to phones, and their 4 camera design, three of which appear to able to work together and produce 3D. Nothing really radical, until you think of the Kirin chip context where Neural processing tricks can be used. I scan books a lot, it is horrible, but as digital references the time and effort is rewarded when researching is 10 fold.
The camera arrangement would allow me to put the phone on a stand, and almost flick through the pages, but the Kirin chip would allow these distorted and bent pages to be flattened, separated and OCRed when neural and parallel processing are taken into a count and the phone would not overheat.
Scale that up with multiple chips on mini-supercomputers and well China just stepped into the future and brought the rest of the world along for the ride.
I do not believe that the US was ignorant of this, but it is a hammer so it just had to hot the nail and sends everything into acceleration mode. Google worst mistake ever, a fatal one, that may bring down MS as well and perhaps Apple as a side effect. Good news for Geeks like me.
Thanks. Very interesting observations.
“Huawei breaking Google’s de facto monopoly may be just around the (tech) corner. ”
Why only now, I ask? Why has Huawei – like everybody else – been relying on monopolistic Jewish Mafia standards and practices in the first place?
In other words, China’s economy and tech industry, too, is still ‘colonial’ and thus immature and far, far, far behind the curve.
Dear _smr
“Why only now, I ask? Why has Huawei – like everybody else – been relying on monopolistic Jewish Mafia standards and practices in the first place? ”
Linus Torvalds he wrote Linux, James Gosling wrote Java, they might be Jewish, but it is unlikely. Larry Page and Sergey Brin put together the original google search engine, Sergey happens to have a Jewish background. All these things together laid the basis for Android, the3:1 ratio then has to be weighed against the thousands of people who contributed to Android as an open project, and the many tes of thousands that wrote programs for the platform.
I am not against your statement because it anti-Semitic, everyone has a right to have a fixation about something. But that the assertion is so wide of reality and meaningless.
Or is it the case you also have a fixation on the Chinese, because just in actually produced technology they are ahead. That they relied on android is because it was historically at hand and obtainable and already establishing itself and they wanted to sell hardware which needed an established OS— what else were they supposed to do?
Times have moved on and Huawei has been working on this HongMeng OS for 5 years already and had before this had happened released it.
We no-longer live in medieval times, the rumours of Jews killing Christian babies and poisoning wells, was untrue; perghaps you should consider your fixation a little out-of-place.
The Jews do exercise some minds very markedly. Many would, I reckon, enjoy being the objects of such fascination. But they are just humans like the rest of us, some good, some bad, some clever, others not so much. The ones involved in high-tech are pretty well networked, obviously, nepotism being imbibed in their mother’s milk. And well financed, obviously.
@ _smr
…” china economy… is still “colonial” and thus immature … ” …
China , like all other world governments has its ” deep state ” , that is under plans of ” deep deep world state ” , and so china behaviour and moves are chanelled.
… ” far , far , far , behind curve “…
That curved path depends upon timing and planning of ” deep deep world state “.
” deep state of usa ” first has to level down usa to become similar with third world afrika country ,
it is obvious that curved path for usa is already taken.
Time will tell.
once again, you are spot on ! I am always happy to read your insights. Now work on clean water,fresh air and proper food for your grandchildren and mine.
thanks,
Donald Charuba (middle finger of old white b-ball players), fruit tree grower and carpenter
Here is a good take on 5G which I feel is (much) more realistic.
The 5G Myth: When vision decoupled from reality by William Webb.
https://books.google.ch/books?id=2Rl-DwAAQBAJ&pg=PT158&lpg=PT158&dq=The+5G+Myth:+And+why+consistent+connectivity+is+a+better+future&source=bl&ots=JfD2XCTERd&sig=ACfU3U0qsXW93y2VpZ-kBmgJpfYlEPlJNw&hl=fr&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwjd7cHD05jiAhVMLVAKHSgfDqk4ChDoATAEegQICRAB#v=onepage&q=The%205G%20Myth%3A%20And%20why%20consistent%20connectivity%20is%20a%20better%20future&f=false
well put. and many of the comments here are not far from the mark: the u.s. (and its allies who blindly follow its bad example) just dug its own grave. stomping and putting a noose on china’s ZTE last year was idiotic and the trump adm thought huawei would be as easy. it’s really an act of terror, bringing the full weight of a state on a small enterprise that ‘skirmished a few rules’ that are not spelled out fully (yet u.s./e.u. entities that do worse are not treated in the same horrifying way). the u.s. should know china will practice (and more) what the u.s. always boasts: ‘we don’t negotiate with hostage-takers/terrorists.’ holding huawei as a hostage to compel china to adapt western laws/values is the worst mistake the u.s. has made since the vietnam war and an even more dreadful miscalculation for america’s future. on top of this, this has galvanized the chinese people, both in the mainland and via the diaspora. the u.s.’ double standards and hypocrisy know no shame or limits. u.s. still runs what edward snowden had termed the worst kind of spying across all borders (even on the u.s. populace and on its allies) via the nsa and 16 other data collecting agencies, not to mention guantanimo bay and black sites that all circumvent human rights and even torture countless innocents (plus the drone/missile strikes killing kids and women)… so to hold huawei hostage now with dubious self-serving accusations (with not even a shred of proof) and saying it is guilty of ” potential spying for china, etc.”, well, isn’t this the opposite of what western values/democracy are about? u.s. now all about making up stuff and planting evidence to get a verdict in regards to cheating its way to stop china’s unstoppable rise… yet u.s. gives free passes on allies who really commit atrocities (saudia arabia, etc.). i suspect huawei will become far more stronger by the next few years. meanwhile, u.s. crossed the line (plus the taiwan and scs issues-related threats), and i bet china is ready to unleash a massive retaliation that it has carefully planned for decades (without all the hoopla and fanfare typical of the american style), step by step, blow by blow. how can the u.s. be this rash and woefully shortsighted against a people /culture whose DNA is primed to endure long hardships and confrontations (witness the fact china had been invaded and humiliated and plundered/destroyed by outsiders so many times… yet it is now or will very soon be the most powerful culture/nation on earth).
The unexpected casualty will be Microsoft. With the excuse of Android, the Chinese government has the rationale to replace Windows. I think they will start with some dedicated systems such as tax reporting, customs, and public services. Watch out if the new OS from Huawei can run on X86 as well.
The war on Huawei continues to escalate. The SD Association, acting on Trump’s Executive Order, has removed Huawei from its membership list. The SD Association sets the standards for SD & microSD cards and licenses members to use the technologies.
Huawei’s removal from the group means it cannot incorporate SD card functionality in its future products. Not the end of the world, as Huawei’s in-house nanoMemory cards, which are the same size/shape as nanoSIM cards are already going into their high-end phones.
Meanwhile, the Wi-Fi Alliance has “temporarily restricted” Huawei’s membership, and Huawei voluntarily withdrew its membership in JEDEC, a semiconductor standards setting organization (also “temporarily”). Neither of the latter two moves prevent Huawei from using the technologies in its phones, but do prevent it from having its voice heard in the setting and maintenance of the standards that define these technologies.
https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Huawei-crackdown/Huawei-s-voice-in-future-tech-standards-restricted
The upshot is that the tech world is bifurcating along geopolitical/economic lines. “It is foreseeable that Chinese tech companies will choose not to join the technology alliances led by the U.S. in the future,” Jonah Cheng. China may set its own standards, or more likely its high-tech companies will join the open standard-setting alliances championed by the EU and JP.
A two-speed world is forming. The question will soon be who succeeds in bringing the 3rd speed (Africa, S. America, etc) up to its speed. At present, it’s now quite apparent that that’s a race the US can barely hope to win, and even then only by using every dirty trick it can think of.
America’s power resides not only in the USD’s reserve currency status and its bloated military, but through the 1,000s of global standards setting institutions, associations, bodies and it controls. From finance, to construction materials, to international law-setting bodies, to countless others, the US is a prominent, if not controlling player in almost all. Many, if not most of them have no alternative, or competing standards setting body.
Getting rid of the Empire is not a simple matter, but one of mind-bending complexity. Until now, China has been allowed to play subtly, using the rules and killing the Empire softly with 100,000 individually imperceptible cuts.
It looks like they’re not going to be allowed to continue on that course. The Empire has decided to bring things to a head, applying as many of its assets in such concert as it can muster. Global Hegemony, or Bust. We’re in for a bumpy ride.
Dream on!
Alibaba IPOed in the USA for a reason. “These people only get promoted inside the vast bureaucracy through performance.” you imply that the performance is ‘beneficial’ where in reality the ‘performance’ is always corrupt. Entrepreneurs can make it in China if they have good government connections. The senior management of Citic Securities, the largest Chinese security house, were removed from their posts in Xi’s ‘anti-corruption’ campaign because they were not in the right political camp. China is not the wonderland that Alice thinks it is, it suffers from the same human components that we all have to endure.
nobody claims china is a “wonderland.” but with america and its allies deteriorating and democracy being carved up, and america still existing on the profits and pride of war mongering (yep, still drone-killing innocents and goading iran for war etc) and relying on double standards (selling and rewarding saudia arabia and israel for injustices and atrocities, plus still boasting the world’s most ‘menacing’ spying program etc), not to mention losing its edge in innovation/funding and in military tech, perhaps there’s no better time for china to withdraw from this american-led dystopian disneyland …especially when you consider china has far more resources and the ultimate will to leap far ahead of usa/the rest of the world in every conceivable field to set the new global standards, no? bet china has been counting on this day to get the green light, yes? usa/world has made the stupidest error of awakening the dragon…