Dear friends,
Do I have a treat for your today!!
The famous Russian economist Mikhail Khazin has agreed to participate in a Q&A with the readers of this blog. Here how this will work: during all of next week (until Friday the 24th 6PM GMT), you will have the possibility to submit questions to Mr Khazin. Then the Russian Saker Blog Team and myself will select the best ones and submit them to Mr Khazin, who will email us his answers which we will translate and post here. A couple of important points:
1. There are no restrictions on topics – you can ask any question you want on any topic.
2. You can ask questions in English or in Russian
3. You can ask anonymously, but please choose a alias/nickname but
4. Please truthfully indicate the city or, at least, country from which you are writing (for Mr Khazin’s own interest)
5. Write concisely and clearly, no more than one paragraph.
Guys, Mikhail Khazin is really one of the best informed people in Russia. Not only does he know Russian economics, he has first hand and deep knowledge of Kremlin politics and the behind the scenes battles between what I call Atlantic Integrationists and Eurasian Sovereignists. Khazin knows Putin personally and well. In other words – this is a golden opportunity, so please use it the best you can!
The Saker
PS: for those who might not be familiar with Mikhail Khazin, here is his biography, translated for you by the Russian Saker Team to whom I express my deepest gratitude.
PPS: please do not email me but post your questions here
Biography of Mikhail Khazin:
Mikhail Khazin was born in 1962 in Moscow. He completed his comprehensive study of mathematics in Moscow. For the next 10 years he ran mathematics workshops in various schools and taught students of math-stream classes. After failing to gain admission to the Mechanics and Mathematics faculty at Moscow State University (due to ethnic profiling existing at the time), he enrolled in the Mathematics faculty at Yaroslavl University. In 1980 he transferred to the Probability Theory Department of the Mechanics and Mathematics Faculty at Moscow State University.
After graduating from the university in 1984, M. Khazin worked in the Laboratory of Computational Mathematics at the USSR Academy of Sciences’ Institute of Physical Chemistry. In 1989 he was employed at the USSR Central Statistical Directorate’s Institute for Statistics and Economic Research. In 1992, together with his friends and former students, M. Khazin worked as a head of Analytics Department in one of the then-biggest banks of Russia, ELBIM-Bank.
In 1993 M. Khazin entered public office. He worked first for the Labour Centre for Economic Reforms, created by Yegor Gaidar with the purpose of theoretically justifying the reforms, then in the Russian Federation’s Ministry of Economy under the ministers A. Shokhin and later E. Yasin. Meanwhile, divisive issues with the so-called Gaidar-team started emerging, in that there was increasing evidence of embezzlement of government funds, sabotage and unabashed corruption on the part of the Gaidar team.
In March of 1997 M. Khazin became a Deputy Chief of the Economic Directorate at the Presidential Administration. In June of 1998 he was discharged from public service for attempting to fight corruption during the privatization (in other words, for standing up against the Summers-Chubais team) and to avert governmental policies that led to the default of 1998. Khazin was unemployed for 2 years and for the next 10 years he was not permitted to leave Russian territory.
Since the summer of 2000 Khazin has been employed as a consultant. On September 10, 2001, when participating in the Expert journal’s forum and analyzing the economic situation in the United States, he foresaw a high likelihood of large-scale terrorist attacks organized by the U.S. authorities to explain the deterioration of the economic situation in the country. M. Khazin and his associates at the time elaborated the theory of modern economic crisis. At the beginning of 2002 Khazin published a paper dedicated to the basics of structural crisis in the USA which outlined the scale of the current crisis. 2004 saw the publication of the book ‘The Decline of the Dollar Empire and the End of Pax Americana’, written in 2003 in collaboration with A. Kobyakov.
Since 2002 M. Khazin has been the President of the consulting company Neokon, which mainly specializes in strategic crisis planning. He actively investigates economic theory within a framework of enhanced understanding of modern economic mechanisms that are figuratively and collectively referred to as neoconomics. At present M. Khazin takes a principal interest in studying the structural proportions of post-crisis economics and prices. A number of his articles and interviews about economic problems have been featured in various media.
My question is:
Why was the creation of the “Ukrainian nation” by the German General Staff in WW1 never challenged by Russia? The only purpose of this artificial creation is to divide and conquer Eastern Europe and permanently subject its population under German colonial rule by forcing people to kill each other. That was also the strategy of Nazi Germany and it is pursued by the USA and Germany ever since.
From Germany
“Germans Taught Russian Prisoners of War the Idea of Ukraine”
http://tarpley.net/metaphysical-doubts-concerning-the-existence-of-modern-ukraine-a-1918-creation-of-the-german-general-staff/
German ambassador and advisor of Yushchenko Dietmar Stuedemann promoted Ukrainian nationalism in 2006:
https://web.archive.org/web/20060613010844/http://www.kyivpost.com/nation/24609/
2 questions,
1. How far has fracking in Ukraine by “Shell” & proxies advanced? What is the expected impact of gas from fracking on future “Gazprom” supplies to Europe and is the South Stream (apart from being laid in a currently non adverse impact corridor) a counter measure to future fracking gas from the Panonian-Transilvanian & Carpathina-Balkaninen basins?
http://www.globalresearch.ca/sanctions-on-russias-energy-sector-shale-gas-fracking-will-invade-europe/5375695. This link is included in reference to the map, showing the aprox size & position of the 2 fields.
2. Is there a formal or informal agreement or “without saying, a meeting of interests” between the Russian Orthodox Church with the current Government, the Presidency, the Duma, by which the ROC doesn’t engage in day to day politics which could be or are adverse to the current Government, the Presidency, the Duma?
Dear Mr. Khazin and Saker,
Having read about and being intrigued by the “free economic” (in German “Freiwirtschaft”) theory put forward by Silvio Gesell my questions is: Is this theory being discussed in the (scientific) economic and/or political spheres in Russia? Have you heard about it?
What this theory sets it apart from the many other ones is that – in my opinion – it has plausible explanations for all the major economic problems we see today (constant debt increase, widening gap between rich and poor …). It kind of predicted the current state of the western world. If this theory is correct then Russia will face similiar trouble once the GDP growth rate falls too low.
For reference, there was recently a speech about negative interest rates at the ECB where the name Silvio Gesell was mentionend. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2014/html/sp140909.en.html
Best regards,
Matthew (Hannover / Germany)
Dear Mr. Khazin and Saker,
After half a century of unprecedented scientific and technical progress, problems seem to arise from everywhere. The world population has doubled in fifty years and a billion people are hungry. Oil has reached its peak production and reserves are starting to deplete. Biodiversity is reducing at an alarming rate and the climate is globally warming up. A growing number of people believe that unregulated market economy is the culprit. Whereas most economists still favor economic growth, an international movement called « degrowth », is getting attention. Based on the work of the romanian american economist Nicholas Georgescu-Roegen, it is especially active in France under the name of « la décroissance ». What is the russian position toward degrowth? Would Russia favor an international effort toward some sort of degrowth?
Best regards,
François Roddier from France
Well, I personally am convinced that capitalism as a relation of production reached the end of it´s path. But let´s see whether Mr. Khazin has some arguments against that. Here my questions:
1) We are definitely in winter of the last long wave. Where does he see the potential for another long wave?
2) Why, how and for how long does market expansion supercede the rise of productivity in this/theese new sectors (which is the base for any positive effect)?
3) If there is no base for another long wave, why and how would capitalist production based on reduction, not growth, be viable?
4) Is there any answer to question 3, that, if one includes the matter of absolute limits in certain ressources, offers anything else but a permanent state of war under capitalist conditions?
5) Which are his suggestions regarding the need of destruction of fictive capital?
Thanks,
Dagmar
Dear Mister Khazin and dearest Saker,
Thank you for this opportunity.
My questions:
What is or could be true about the ideas vented by some so-called experts (Pierre Hillard, etc.) that President Putin is just another Anglo-zionist agent, now pretending to fight the corporatocracy but who will do a 180 when the time has come? I would really like to have trust in the guy, he’s one hell of a great president.
Long time I’ve wanted to know whether Russia is also victim of the ‘money as debt’ system (every $€¥ issued is a $€¥ of debt) we’re all suffering from. If this is the case that the Russian Federation is running this same monetary system as most other countries doesn’t that make them equally vulnerable to actions of the central banksters and thus more willing to comply with the banksters cunning wishes? And in that case is there a chance that President Putin will start with emission of money by the Federation itself, like President Kennedy did (he signed laws for the emission of silver-backed $$$ (if I recall correctly) to begin steering away from the money-grubbing Fed. Reserve Bank)?
Thanking you in advance for your answers! :-)
Greetings from sunny Aquitaine,
Jan Henkes
Dear Saker and Mr. Kazin, here is the Q:
It seems Mr. Putin is so alone on the top of the Russian pyramide of power (sorry, but the advisor are not in executive administration positions). As I understand the opposition of 5th column (Atlantic internationalists of Mr. Medvedev etc.) will even not admit Mr. Glazev to become the chief of The central Bank of RF. So what is to expect of domestic development in Russia – does it really stand and fall with president´s “one man show”?
What is the official (but not widely spread) line of Kremlin towards V4 countries of EU (Czech R., Slovakia, Hungary) which offcialy expressed doubts on US policy and sanstions against Russia (and the selfdestructing brainless policy of Brussels buerocrats?
/Fred, from Slovak republic/
To Dagmar Henn:
Actually this is an important point about ‘style’ of capitalism:
roughly speaking:
Anglo-American style: finance by debt,
German style/St. Simonian style: finance by equity share.
These two styles are radically opposed.
The Anglo-American style has an extractive (parasitic), deflationary impact
while the equity share style causes no such problem (not to say it can’t cause some other types of problems) This style does not become exhausted the same way as the debt share style.
TRX
Here is my question.
What are the obstacles to greater Indo-Russian economic/technological cooperation? How do you recommend removing these obstacles?
Regards,
Avarachan (India/U.S.)
First of all, I would like to thank you Saker and mr. Khazin for this unic oportunity.
Is it true that Ukrainian gold reserves are transported to US? If yes, why doesn’t Russia talk about it in the public? It seams to me to be a great example of US real actions and motives. Could make great point in ongoing information war.
Russia should do more to expand and strengthen its influence abroad. In the Europe, it schould start with easiest case, most pro-Russian nation in Europe – Serbs, who are basically under Western ocupation. West controlls Governement, ALL media in Serbia, NGO’s e.c.t. If Russia could buy one TV station, some newspapers, help some patriotic politicians and intelectuals, in short time it could get (very) firm foothold in the Balkans.
Best wishes!
I’m living in the Netherlands, Serb origin.
^^
Dear Saker,
I’m sorry I missed the deadline. After I donated to you, my computer was cyber-attacked, it looks like. (It was either an attack, or a remarkable series of computer failures.) In any event, fixing my computer took time, which is why I missed the deadline. If my question could be considered, I would be very grateful.
Regards,
Avarachan
@Abraham/Avarachan:If my question could be considered, I would be very grateful.
You got it :-)
@Marina: please ignore the fact that Abraham/Avarachan question came late. Thanks!
Cheers,
The Saker
Thank you to all who worked so hard to get us these questions and answers
Most of all Mikhail Khazin.
I am Danish, b. 1941 and worked for 45 years in 35 countries. I was too busy to follow politics in EU and least of all in Denmark. It was thus a shock to come back to see/hear find out that “they” have not changed their attitude towards Russia… same cold war rhetoric and activities like in the 50’s 65 years ago. While the world at large moved on, EU and DK did not, if anything they moved further to the right ie fascistic. I was and am a socialist, socialism in DK and EU has dwindled to a few percentage of the political spectrum … though Denmark has a wonderful social welfare system, our Social Democratic party is a shadow of what was… there is not ONE MP in that party that ever worked on the floor in a factory and know the hardships… and so has no personal understanding, only a theoretical one. Denmark’s Foreign Policy is “we will do anything USA wants us to do” … especially since Fogh Rasmussen was PM and committed us to a closer alliance/cooperation with NATO… in fact DK did not have a somewhat acceptable foreign policy since the two PMs, both by name Hansen, in the 50’s… actually DK probably did not have a sovereign Foreign Policy since 1864… when we lost some land to Germany, our last war with Germany… Hitler was allowed to walk in and take what he wanted … there was an open door… bla bla bla…. What I appreciate most of all is Mr Khazin’s assessment of the situation we all are in today as everything is interconnected…
1. EU will have to be disbanded.
2.The elite-economist in Russia have to be removed and replaced by people who have the Russian economy and survival at heart.
To 1. I wholehearted agree. EU must be disbanded and will be. I give it a few years… less than five (5).
To 2. IS THE MOST IMPORTANT THING. Not just for Russia but for the whole world.
First time I heard Mr. Khazin talk about the Economist elite in Russia it answered a question I had had… ie how come some of the statements I read in ITAR TASS coming from top people did not sound very ‘helpful’ ie contradictory to Putin’s line, and what he is trying to accomplish … sounded like not one front against the Cold War from the West… these were Former Min of Finance, Kudrin, the current one, Siluanov and the Chairman of the Central bank of Russia, Nabiullina. I now understand they are on the IMF team and they are very overt about it…. in other words IMF and everything that goes with it, the USA’s hegemony, …. have their people inside – in place – but just like EU will have to go so will these people in key positions as not “with the program” of making Russia strong and ensure its sovereignty. They are with the other program, the program of the Western world, run by hegemon USA… they are on the losing team, beside it is treason.
So thank you for making that very clear.