By F(unny) Man for the Saker Blog
A simple analysis of the events in real-time(1). No matter which one of the levels in the Battlespace (Tactical, Operational or Strategic) of this War (or Combined Arms Police Action, as of Mr. A. Martyanov’s definition) Is impossible because there is the fog of war, the information we are receiving is old, compromised, unsure. We do not have the full of it on real-time (not even the Staff in the High Command of the contending parties have it) nor are we able to separate that quick the relevant from irrelevant, or real from fake, propaganda from whatever…
A simple analysis of the motivations or decision-making processes in the heads of the persons in charge (such as Pres. Zelensky or the Committee (2) represented by Pres. Biden) or any of the generals managing these operations is also impossible. We can guess their intentions, we can guess their motives from a visceral Point of view, but we are not inside their heads.
If we try to answer the Question: is Ukraine going to win this war? We can obtain some Answers from a purely scientific Mathematical Perspective.
War is won or lost based on:
P1.- Logistics
P2.- Will to Fight (3)
From P1.- we can observe that in the Ukraine:
- Supplies:
Much of it destroyed, depleted, or captured. What is left is being used and suffering attrition. No possibilities of quick resupply by local production or by imports due to b) c) d) e)
- Airports:
All-important military and Civil Airports neutralized or destroyed.
- Ports:
All important Civilian and Military Ports and Transit Hubs neutralized or destroyed
- Roads:
All Roads east of the Line Koroshen-Zythomir-Vinitsa-Yampil neutralized or under fire control of artillery and VVS. All Roads west of this line are at least under fire control of VVS, and/or standoff weaponry.
- Railroads:
All lines west of the Line Koroshen-Zythomir-Vinitsa-Yampil cut in one or more points, neutralized or under fire control of artillery and VVS. All lines west of this line are at least under fire control of VVS and/or standoff weaponry.
From P2.- we can observe that in the Ukraine, once supplies are depleted, Ukrainian Forces can:
- Fight with sticks and stones and die (immediately)
- They can run and die (a little bit later)
- They can hide and die (somewhat later)
- Fly the country abroad and live(4) (with resentment and fear, because you never know when a Spetsnaz team can pay a visit at home)
- Surrender and live a normal life (if they are not guilty of war crimes and such)
Conclusions:
War is just Mathematics (7)
Mathematics never lie (8)
At this hour of the night, I should be sleeping… dammit these interesting times! (9)
- An Analysis a Posteriori can always be done; you can even earn a Ph D. on it. But for the purposes of this Essay, we are not taking them into account. We do not want to break the laws of causality in this timeline, collapsing it.
- Committee: the only type of animal with many legs (a lot, really a lot of them) but no brain.
- Under the effect of “VVS bombardment” and “Big Bear running after you” modifiers P2 → 0
- This option is the favored one by Nazi and Bandera fans. Canada, the USA, and maybe some European countries are the preferred destination
- H2W2 acronym for “How to Win War” based on the research and studies of John D. O. E.
- Just in case, if you haven’t understood a Word of this: UKRAINE IS GOING TO LOSE BIG! I doubt it will exist anymore by this day next month.
- Read what Mr. A. Martyanov have to say about war, if you are still unsure after reading his Three Books about military supremacy, ask any kid of age 12 when they come back home the day of a Math’s Examination. Math is War.
- This only applies to normal timelines… in some wokefied timelines it might be considered racist, gender fluid intolerant, or politically incorrect that 2+2=4.
- This Essay was based on a comment on Telegram about the Fact that Russian Forces are cutting all Railway Lines in the Ukraine, making resupply for the Kiev Government almost impossible, I think I lost my mind somewhere in Paragraph 3…
A very timely reminder! Thanks Mr. Funny! It’s only a matter of how fast.
Yeah,
And Russians are masters in logistics since WW2, just because they learn about the errors of Whermatch.
Logistics is the veins who conduct blood for this whole organism called army.
Not to forget their own errors they did during the Winter War with finnland. They was like the US army in Normandy. They learn how to wage War FAST, because they have to.
No they weren’t. They just had more capacity. A lot more capacity. They were not in any way more efficient with it than the Krauts. Or the west for that matter.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=3EcNP2fi2Fk
Nope. That is western propaganda. Germans had bigger industrial capacity than USsr, and bigger manpower in 1941/42 bcs they captured 2.5 million USSR troops. Germany lost the war practically in november 1942 at Stalingrad, and that soviet victory is one of the biggest succeses by anyone in military history
You are absolutely correct. The reality is that the Russians were 75% of the success in winning the war at a terrible and horrible cist of at least 30 million lives. Pity that the west doesn’t give the proper acknowledgement.
That is because the civilized Germans exterminated millions of civil population by design and on purpose. The loses in human life are not due to misstakes on the part of the Russian army.
No they weren’t. They just had more capacity. A lot more capacity. They were not in any way more efficient with it than the Krauts. Or the west for that matter.
Why don’t you acquaint yourself with real military historians of real international repute, such as former US Army cadre officers Colonel David Glantz and Lieutenant Colonel Jonathan House and not only read their books on Eastern Front where they praise “prodigious feats” of Red Army logistics but also listen to their lectures in the US Army War College on precisely how the Red Army fought WW II, and not refer to some amateur BSer who would be eaten alive by historians of scale of Alexey Isaev. 99% of UTube “content” on WW II is a sophomore psychobabble for entertainment.
They were better at it than the Germans, but they did have Western Lend Lease from 1942 on, and Red Army soldiers were better at roughing it. For example, combating vitamin deficiency by boiling nettles to make a sort of tea.
@Steve
What an utter load of BS. The total lend lease aid didn’t amount to more than 4% of the Soviet wartime production. Much of it came as logistics, not weapons.
If you think that the USSR beat the Nazis with their numbers, just search about the operation bargration.
Did You Really Miss The Point About….logistics??? (no cpas please (changed) brekas site rules and is screaming. Mod.)
Logistics is the key to any modern military success, since the American Revolution!!
Grant beat Lee because of his quartermaster background.(Lee was an “engineer”.)
American soldiers are decent, because of their pioneer-based courage, their flexibility and innovation under pressure, but they win because of ‘LOGISTICS’! Mediocre arms, equipment and tanks, but they sure can throw a lot of them at their enemies!
Soviets enjoyed superior logistics in the form of Dodge heavy-duty trucks, the machine that won the war for them under the US Lendlease program. The Germans had to rely heavily on horses for movement of material!
Dodge heavy duty trucks won the war? Gee, I thought it was a hundred other factors such as the T-34, heroic soldiers, skilled military leadership, patriotic civilians etc. but never guessed it was a Dodge truck. Will wonders never cease?
“American soldiers are decent, because of their pioneer-based courage, their flexibility and innovation under pressure, but they win because of ‘LOGISTICS’! Mediocre arms, equipment and tanks, but they sure can throw a lot of them at their enemies!”
Choked a bit on that lot of horse manure about being decent & pioneer based courage.The bit about Dodge Trucks winning the War really did it for me. Be a patriot but don’t fantacise.
I think they were Studebaker trucks
Wehrmacht!
Ukraine is doomed. The best deal Russia could make right now would be something like: removal of the Zelensky puppet, destruction of all US biological laboratories in Ukraine, Russia resumes administration of all Ukrainian affairs for 20 years, Russia pays for repairs and upgrades of infrastructure in exchange for 30% of Ukraine’s revenue, Ukraine retains control of the Donbass regions under Russian supervision, the full demilitarization of Ukraine for 50 years, Ukraine agrees not to join or align with NATO for 100 years, and ALL recent sanctions imposed on Russia are lifted. Russia will install missile defense systems on Ukraine’s borders operated by Ukrainian nationals under Russian supervision. Russia will withdraw all other Russian military forces from Ukraine, but will maintain a battalion NEAR the Russian-Ukrainian border to assist Ukrainians in national defense.
Russians – not Ukes – floating rumours of peace deal next week. Russians leave, in response to Uke promises to not do this, that, and the other thing. If so, Putin’s got blue and yellow egg all over his botox-puffed face….because we all know that the moment the last Russian soldier leaves, the Ukes will once again cut off the water to Crimea and start shelling the Donbass. Probably join NATO as well. Best outcome: half-Jew, Israel-loving Putin gets overthrown by an actual Russian Nationalist who knows how to run a war: use iron fist not velvet glove, and never, ever negotiate while fighting.
Wow.
Ukraine needs to be dismantled. It cannot stay in its current form. Smaller republics will be formed of what was once known as Ukraine. Some or maybe most of those republics would form a federal state, Novorussia that would eventually join Russian Federation.
“And Russians are masters in logistics since WW2, just because they learn about the errors of Whermatch.”
Really? According massive statistics by Dupuy Institute it was interesting to find how even during Operation Citadel the Germans had much less artillery and rocket launchers that Red Army but they fired 2.4 times more tons of ammo than Soviet forces.
German logistics was big mess. That’s true but even Russians admit that they had surprisingly hard time with ammo production. It was lousy mobility (depend on horses) and lack of air cover explaining most the German disasters especially in 1944. And shrinking man power.
Now the RF have one strenght compared US forces abroad. Quite short logistic supply lines.
A brief SitRep of Novorossiya:
The orcs are surrounded at the Novorossiya west border. Substantial numbers of the regular orc army plus large numbers of azov, aidar and right sector are in the bag, Russia Army blocking their way out and NAF steadily closing in on them. Lots of scores to settle from Novorossiya and methinks the bag of prisoners will be quite small.
On the other hand, the orcs are still bombarding Donetsk and Gorlovka day and night, patently civilian areas. Civilian casualties are mounting and NAF casualties are not small. The orcs have gotten smart, they shoot and scoot. I think in the end we will see a route of epic proportions and this time there will be no ‘minsk 3’ to save them. Be prepared for lots of crying from the west of prisoner massacres etc etc etc.
Auslander
Author http://rhauslander.com/
Auslander, I may have completely wrong picture of distances involved and military realities…But, I just can not understand why Russians don’t pulverize orc units bombarding Donetsk with thermobaric weapons from Tupolyevs……or something. I mean carpet bombing like. Is it not possible because of civilian habitation? Non expert as I am I constantly question if enough was done here.
Too many settlements and house clusters plus NAF and VDV are trying to minimize civilian casualties, pure and simple. Novorossiya is not a deserted landscape by any stretch of the imagination.
Auslander
We have close family ties. For example, my wife and I have relatives and friends from Kharkov, Odessa, Novograd-Volynsk, etc. I would call this operation a “civil war”. This does not contradict the state of affairs. The Russian VPR takes this factor into account. Therefore, they are trying to carry out the operation with minimal losses of the civilian population, so as not to cause discontent of the Russian public. These lands have always resisted the Nazis, so for them this humanitarian component plays into their hands – they really hide behind the local population.
I will add a small nuance – some of the targets for the Russian artillery and VKS are indicated by the local pro-Russian population.
I totally agree, it seems the attempts to shell civilians of Donbass has significantly increased in effort. They do it to punish, but also they’re lacking targeting from damaged command (personal opinion), so out of a fascist bag of hatred and frustration they use their shells on targets they have, the people.
Those in the pocket should be extremely filtered. Oh, I never wanted to do anything bad BS isn’t going to cut it. I think other regions of the world will also start to make pushes against empire. Canadians are flooding into Poland. Hopefully a juicy missile waits for them at the border. Every other generation tries to bleed Russia. I am sick of it.
I suspect their aiming systems are indeed out of order so it is more or less blind firing as an expression of hatred and frustration.
I hope that you are right here, Auslander. Though, you are accurate with your views just about every time. :-)
The more mercenaries that are terminated, the more I feel that God is on Russia’s side as we see the earth rejuvenate and cleanse itself of filth.
I read on a telegram channel of Canadian mercenaries catching flights to Ukraine to fight the Russians. The more that make the trek, the more the earth with cleanse itself of more filth.
I wish Russia didn’t have to be the one’s to have to flush the toilet of Nazi vermin every so often. Russia’s future is Asia. US/EU can’t help themselves and keep trying to destroy Russia. I think once the Cauldron is dissolved, the next stage will be West of Dnieper and Kiev. Longer Zelenskij waffles about (behest of Washington), the more death.
This chaos may also encourage other nations to make their own moves, in their own geopolitical spheres.
I am old enough to remember the war in Angola when the MPLA were victorious with the help of Cubans,there were quite a few foreign mercenaries captured,one group led by a psychotic British former para,they were all given a fair trial in front of the world,then they were shot.
Some stayed in jail for a while and were quietly released. Several had far right backgrounds, incidentally. One American who was killed by the name of George Bacon was a fanatical anti-Communist who had been a Green Beret or something in Vietnam. He seems to have been a talented misfit, able to speak Vietnamese and Chinese. He had been CIA and may still have been when he was killed.
Ukrainian Canadians?
Btw Auslander, I hope that you heard about the missile strike between Lviv and the Polish border where Ukro and NATO Nazi trainers just became collateral damage… I hear that there are many more such bases in western Ukraine which might encounter similar unpleasantries.
They were not collateral damage, they were the target of the strike. The ‘base’ had numerous foreign and orc instructors and many ‘foreigners’ had been taken there for instruction, weapons familiarization and acclimatization for orcland. Dead minimum 37, wounded minimum 134, both figures subject to change.
The weapons convoys from Poland et al are next. Gloves are off and Mother is pissed.
With no offical presence of the North American Terrorist Organization in Ukraine they can’t cry foul.
As to mercs, good riddance. Keep sending them.
They make good fertilizer.
Once they cross the border they are fair game. Soon enough the orcs will be busy punching out ” training accident ” death notices by the dozens.
I shall look forward to purchasing Ukrainian produce from her fertile land when it’s over.
i wouldn’t want to eat a potato infected with the poisonous ruins of those scum.
I really hope so and that the war doesn’t spill over the borders at the same time. The US has pushed past all forms of decency. If they believe their own propaganda, then the world is in trouble.
I jest of course, Auslander. Plausible deniability is the term the Americans often use… 😁
Yes Mr Kalibr was up early for a walk this morning.
The orc’s surrendered once at Debaltseve. What do you do with a opponent that surrenders and then comes back into the fight. You put him down for good. He was given the chance to surrender but with no honor comes death.
I have the same question as Igor.
I expected that the Ukies in Donbass region would be mostly incapacitated by now, if not by carpet bombing, then with some other means in the vast Russian arsenal.
The relentless attacks on civilians in the DPR are barbaric. I was amused to see a very large chechen contingent deploying their today. I don’t expect there to be many prisoners.
You all know what the task is of the chechs?
To dance, haha?
https://youtu.be/1yKxnaUN408
https://youtu.be/oErqCG-igfE
yes… to dance over the graves of their enemies
I think that it was an American general in their Civil War that said that war is won by those who can ” get there the furstest with the mostest” and of course was entirely correct.
How anyone can see the outcome as being different, or that even an insurgency could succeed in aims of bleeding Russian troops for a long time, is beyond me.
I think that all the fantasy scenarios breathlessly promulgated by the Western elites just a coping mechanism to hide all the rage at losing a proxy war when so much preparation went into helping Banderists hold all of the real power (for arms, not money, is power) in the Ukraine, only to see it disappear so quickly. Mind you, the Banderists are fighting fiercely as befits even the most knuckle headed wrong minded Slav warriors, but the outcome was never really in doubt, as with Afghanistan, etc… for that matter.
Now, again in fear disguised as virtue signaling, the West is sealing itself off from the Russias, with the frontiers being the real battle left to determine.
Not to be picky, but my ancestors fought with the man and he never said that:
“Do not, under any circumstances whatever, quote Forrest as saying ‘fustest’ and ‘mostest’. He did not say it that way, and nobody who knows anything about him imagines that he did. …
The aphorism was addressed and corrected as “Ma’am, I got there first with the most men” by a New York Times story in 1918.”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nathan_Bedford_Forrest#cite_note-Times1918-223
So let’s use Napoleon as an example, he having said that ” an army fights on its stomach “, or something like that. The point remains that if you cannot be resupplied, you will have to surrender, try to retreat, or die.
An army Marches on its stomach.
Yes, that’s the phrase. However Napoleon also said something like ” morale is to material as three is to one”
Acho que a frase foi “o exercito marcha com seu estômago”
The US has never won a proxy war. And in fact the only war they “won” in the last 70 years was against Grenada.
Winning militarily is not the goal. Profiting militarily (and in a host of other ways) is. Trillions in profit were generated by wars in the Iraq and Afghanistan – and that is why it was “wrong” to withdraw.
Panama was also a victory. So that’s 2 in 75 years
I have to wonder if getting out of Afghanistan last summer was in preparation for concentrating more on Ukraine.
I also believe the “calamity” of the Afghan withdrawal was greatly exaggerated to serve as an excuse to bring more Afghans into Europe and the U.S. There’s a big globalist policy of flooding Europe and U.S. with Middle Eastern and African military aged males.
I doubt that there will be a significant insurgency, even with Western assistance. Even the UIA was insignificant outside the extreme west of the country. Ukraine was not a significant Soviet partisan centre either, mainly because the lack of forests in most places meant a lack of cover. Significantly there were far more partisans in wooded and swampy Belarus.
Everyone knows it’s over. Zelensky and his buddies are just waiting to get the $14 billion from Uncle Sugar deposited in their bank accounts.
Then they will surrender at a nice peace conference in Tel Aviv.
I agree. It’s just a shame that strong and brave men are dying for these bastards.
I think more people are catching on to this faster than usual, that’s why it needs to end very quickly:
“The target of a penalty is always those who will suffer from it the most, said Carlson, in his statement of the night. You, the American middle class, are who will suffer from all of this. You will pay more for everything, and feel patriotic for doing it, goes the reasoning of the left. (Brings to mind the statement of World Economic Forum’s Klaus Schwab, referring to the Great Reset, “You will have nothing and like it.”) You’re supporting the Ukrainian people after all! Give thanks and tighten your belts.”
http://www.womensystems.com/2022/03/tucker-carlson-nails-itagainnow-we-know.html
Seriously, of that $14 billion, how much will help ordinary citizens in Ukraine? 50%, 30%, less? And why does America need to pay to fix a country destroyed in a war we didn’t even fight in? And what is the story with the biolabs? And why is gas going up if we don’t import a lot of oil from Russia?
Too many tough questions are being asked for the managerial elite’s comfort.
Ask Big oil. They are setting/manipulating the prices.
Hi. Brave men hiding behind civilians?
There are brave Russian men dying
“Zelensky and his buddies are just waiting to get the $14 billion from Uncle Sugar deposited in their bank accounts.”
More likely that’s a lost leader. He’s much more likely to heroically die at the head of a bayonet charge after expending all his ammunition destroying an oncoming Russian battalion. All this from a comfortable hotel room in Poland.
His heroic death will inspire future generations of rabid Ukro-nazi children in the next war to ‘liberate the motherland. I’m only being half sarcastic here, he’s probably worth more to the US read than alive at this point.
Why is nobody talking about Poroshenko in the same breath as Zelensky?
I want to see them both captured alive by the Russians – if the Chechens catch them first they will be history.
What has become of the Chechens?
They are a highly trained professional force! They have been helping civilians, bringing humanitarian convoys to the population. They have regular updates complaining that Banderists flee from them and can’t get in a good fight with these scum. They have made a 180 and become true heroes!!! I am sure it stands correct that you wouldn’t want to be a Nazis with a tattoo of a swastika on your body and have to answer to them for it. I really hope all of them under Z operation go home safely after. 8 years of bombing civilians, enough is enough. Western hypocrisy and evil is what opened this conflict. Now they drape themselves in flags and fig leaves. They disgust me.
Good point, how can you surrender if you have Nazi tattoo. And its permanent, of course!
I think idiots will think twice before they do stupid tattoos, anywhere, anyone.
Idiots don’t think twice – rarely even once. That’s why there’re called idiots.
Os chechenos são os “janízaros ” do Putin
I highly doubt Ze or Poro would be taken alive. There are probably standing orders to have them be “martyred” if they are ever in danger of being captured.
…yes that’s correct, only Ukraine will be cut in two parts. A Novorussia (including Transnisteria) on the east side and a smaller Ukraine without shoreline on the west side.
Reports ( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pp0WWZbNGq4 ) are that Zelensky already has 8 billion plus USD is an offshore account, in addition to a 34 million USD property in Florida.
But a little more mulah never hurts.
Logistics can never be good if the strategy is bad:
1) Putin massively under supplied the war effort, even days ago he SCOFFED at the idea of calling up reserves! He needs to call up 2 MILLION men now. 1 million to hold CONQUERED Ukrainian territory and 1 million as a home guard against revolt.
2. There is no such thing as a beautiful gentleman’s war. War is evil hell, Don’t launch one unless you are willing to unleash hell. The Ukrainians, to include the regular people of Ukraine, had 8 years and 2 weeks to strike an honorable deal, now it must be surrender or die.
3. If Russia-friendly people in Ukraine think that at a moment’s notice you will sign a cease fire for silly and abstract “neutrality” and “denazification” they will not want to turn on the Ukrainian puppet regime only to be at their mercy the moment you leave! It MUST be a war of PERMANENT geographic conquest!
Can anyone get into the thick skulls of Putin and the high command?
This is no longer about Donbass – Ukraine – or even Russia, it is about whether the nihilistic technocracy will get global domination!
A truck of gas and food can’t fix that!
How often are you going to copypasta this one? Three articles is enough. Now go away, spammer.
You’ve posted this now twice. Let this be the last time. For us here, this is trolling signature.
You are wrong on all points.
For 1. The Russian army is not sending deserves because it isn’t needed, the advance pace matches what was planned. There is absolutely no need to send 2 million troops
Pouring 2 million troops into Ukraine would be a stupid move. A weak thing to do (you put all your forces in a single battle when you are weak and losing, not when you win). And it would put at risk all other borders.
For 2. The ultimate goal of a war is not to have “hell” (that may be the wet dream of death cult sick minds only) but to win.
“Never start a war if not dure to win”, yes. But no need of “hell”.
Actually Russian, Donetsk and Luganskarmies are wining. And with the lowest level of “hell”, which is even better.
Note it would be a very bad move to wage a war of extermination. By doing so it would become existential for Ukrainians and they would never surrender. Hope must be preserved so that the elements of the enemy still having humanity can choose it
The overall result will be much less costly in human lives.
For 3. The stated goal of the operation is to demilatirize AND DENAZIFY. The Russian army won’t go back only at half the goal accomplished But it won’t be a “permanent conquest” either. Actually much of the denazification will be done by Ukrainians themselves, with Russia just providing logistical help and documentation.
Ukraine won’t disappear as a country. But it’s new government to come will accept reality, it will accept the territorial loses as a direct result of the errors and sins of the Maïdan coup régime. And it will align with the geopolitical reality, and made ties with not only neighbours, but century long brothers. Ukraine will awaken from an ugly west induced nightmare.
One of the key advantage of a blog like this one is the quality of the comments by normal or very intelligent people. When I start to read a piece of garbage like this I immediately skip the comment like a jump over a piece of dog shit on the street.
Thank you Amarynth to flash this commenter and you are very welcome to automatically reject any comment that is visibly designed to confuse the naive reader and to annoy the others.
Hey, afterthought, do you really think an ex-intelligence officer with field service, now commander in chief of a net centric capable armed force, with world leading innovations, with a background of a planning capacity of 5000+ men based on a tradition of armed-conflict planning since roughly a century, would miscalculate supplies for a chirurgical, combined, armed operation of such proportion?
You should stop hallucinating bro’. Even Bismarck said, Russians don’t go anywhere without a plan.
You, afterthought are centuries behind reality.
“Can anyone get into the thick skulls of Putin and the high command?”
Sit tight Mr. Armchair General!
Clearly Mr. Afterbirth thinks he can.
Artabanos said to the Persian king Xerxes, “the land and the sea will be your greatest enemies”. His army was so large that the land might not feed it and the rivers not carry enough water. His navy was so large that there would not be enough ports where it could weather out a storm.
The Russians are always two days ahead of the wests implemented plans. A training facility in Lviv was bombed to simtheriens along the polish border and people are beginning to ask if the armor being sent, can actually be delivered.
In other news, it seems the Russian brass just want the democrats to give up on their ideology before they create more evidence hanging themselves out to dry.
Mission demilitarize and denazify Ukraine. Part one is nearly complete.
I do not understand how part two can be achieved without long term occupation. Denazification requires changing the political regime and the constitution. It requires replacing the controlled media and school curriculum.
What am I missing?
The Novo-Ukrainian government will take care of that, and with a vengeance for those that brought their nation and its people to ruin over the last 8 years.
See: how the US deNazified Germany post-1945.
The US occupied Germany for decades….
“The US occupied Germany for decades”…..
Still do. 77 years and counting.
Well … They are still there…
50k occupation army.
+
They control the politicians
Um…they did not…Many ex-Nazis were elevated to major positions in German society – eg the chief prosecutor in Karlsruhe, the chief medical officer…It gave impetus to the rise of the Baader-Meinhof terrorism – misguided kids who had a gripe about how the older Generation of Nazis still had dominant positions in postwar Germany …
The Russian zone was more successful in de-nazifying through special lessons in schools.
I knew an east German who had grown up in the Weimar republic….then switched his allegiance to Hitler…then became a good communist…and freaked out when the wall came down in 1989…he could not adjust to the predatory capitalist mindset of his fellow ex-Wehrmacht friends who had ended up on the west German side.
My guess is that there will be a lot of Ukrainians who will be seriously mentally affected by the realization that they have been brainwashed so thoroughly by western influence,…it will take time for them to adjust.
Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett telephoned President Zelensky to advise him to agree to Russia’s terms, including tearing down monuments honoring Nazi collaborator Stepan Bandera and arresting the neo-Nazis he enlisted in his army.
https://www.voltairenet.org/article216051.html
The likes of Poroshenko and Zelensky openly collaborating with real Banderite Nazis (real hardcore racial supremecist ethic cleansers, not some childish name calling) is a little too revealing. The collaboration issue is supposed to be … ‘complicated’. There are stones being unturned some would rather leave in place.
Also Kolomoyskyi, a Jew, funding the Azov battalion. Politics, and geo-poloitics, are more complex than the likes of Steven Spielberg would have us believe.
there’s nothing complicated here: Palestine, Ukraine, America, Canada, & all the Euro-bankster-ruled principalities have Zionist Occupation Gubmints. In the bad old days, Nazis used to point at Jews and say “Jump!”. Now, Jews point at Nazis and say “Jump!!”.
Steven Spielberg is a member of a nefarious Mega Group which was financing Jeffrey Epstein. Steven Spielberg lies when it is “good for Jews.”
https://www.mintpressnews.com/mega-group-maxwells-mossad-spy-story-jeffrey-epstein-scandal/261172/
“The Mega Group — a secretive group of billionaires — was formed in 1991 by Charles Bronfman and Leslie Wexner, the latter of whom has received considerable media scrutiny following the July arrest of his former protege Jeffrey Epstein. Media profiles of the group paint it as “a loosely organized club of 20 of the nation’s wealthiest and most influential Jewish businessmen” focused on “philanthropy and Jewishness,” with membership dues upwards of $30,000 per year. Yet several of its most prominent members have ties to organized crime.
Mega Group members founded and/or are closely associated with some of the most well-known pro-Israel organizations. For instance, members Charles Bronfman and Michael Steinhardt formed Birthright Taglit… Steinhardt has stated that his motivation in helping to found the group was to advance his own belief that devotion to and faith in the state of Israel should serve as “a substitute for [Jewish] theology.” Other well-known groups associated with the Mega Group include the World Jewish Congress — whose past president, Edgar Bronfman, and current president, Ronald Lauder, are both Mega Group members — and B’nai B’rith, particularly its spin-off known as the Anti-Defamation League (ADL). The Bronfman brothers were major donors to the ADL, with Edgar Bronfman serving as the ADL’s honorary national vice-chair for several years.”
“The true history and sinister origin of Bronfman family wealth:”
https://artvoice.com/2018/03/23/the-true-history-and-sinister-origin-of-bronfman-family-wealth/
https://larouchepub.com/eiw/public/1989/eirv16n34-19890825/eirv16n34-19890825_050-the_bronfmans_a_crime_family_tur.pdf
The ADL in American Society: https://www.unz.com/runz/american-pravda-the-adl-in-american-society/
As you probably know McCain got his wealth through his second wife who was the daughter of the Bronfmann’s local boss in Colorado.
You would think the Ukrainian leadership would understand that the US does not care about them, just look at this US strategy the US has just adopted. Or in other words we do not want to get involved, but keep fighting to the last man.
US secretary of state Anthony Blinken gives the green light to Poland to transfer of all its Mig 29’s to Ukraine
Blinken says Poland sending fighter jets to Ukraine gets a ‘green light’ from US
https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/597056-sending-polish-fighter-jets-to-ukraine-gets-a-green-light-saysUkraine.
Then the Polish Government offered to fly their fleet of Mig 29’s to Ramstein airbase in Germany [free of charge] for the US to deliver them to Ukraine.
Here is the US reply delivered by brave brave Sir Robin.
The prospect of fighter jets “at the disposal of the Government of the United States of America” departing from a U.S./NATO base in Germany to fly into airspace that is contested with Russia over Ukraine raises serious concerns for the entire NATO alliance. It is simply not clear to us that there is a substantive rationale for it. We will continue to consult with Poland and our other NATO allies about this issue and the difficult logistical challenges it presents, but we do not believe Poland’s proposal is a tenable one.
https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/2960180/statement-by-pentagon-press-secretary-john-f-kirby-on-security-assistance-to-uk/
The ballad of brave brave Sir Robin i.e. the United States of America or the ‘Masters of the Universe’.
Brave Sir Robin ran away.
(“No!”)
Bravely ran away away.
(“I didn’t!”)
When danger reared it’s ugly head,
He bravely turned his tail and fled.
(“I never!”)
Yes, brave Sir Robin turned about
And gallantly he chickened out.
(“You’re lying!”)
Swiftly taking to his feet,
He beat a very brave retreat.
Bravest of the brave, Sir Robin! [Monty Python [Holy Grail.]
Sir Robin trying to sucker Poland?
If I were Poland and Turkey right now, I would leave NATO post haste. The Americans are not going to fight for these nations in the event of war.
This much is obvious given that Americans used Ukrainians for their evil agenda to fight and weaken Russia.
Correct, NATO is led by the US and must always have a US General at its head. It exists purely to further US hegemony and to supply its military Industrial Complex, having its members contribute 2% minimum to NATO [as an example Germany’s GDP is $ 4 Trillion dollars] that is a lot of money, here is what 1 Trillion dollars looks like
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n4-4bvuX7qA the Germans have agreed to put into their defence bill an extra $100 billion dollars because of Ukraine, presumably into the US MIC, interoperability don’t you know, and at the same time stopping NS2 which will cripple German industrial competitiveness and cause German families to freeze. The US might say why should we pay to keep NATO solvent? Good question, they might reply cut down on your far too generous welfare state and do wear extra clothing. As for your industry, don’t worry we will replace it. Trump was right first time Nato is obsolete, until it was explained to him the true purposes of NATO.
This is what a trillion dollars will look like
https://avatars.mds.yandex.net/i?id=b05d20d82de331ba9a1d189077cc5bb8-5869592-images-thumbs&n=13&exp=1
“Germans have agreed to put into their defence bill an extra $100 billion dollars because of Ukraine, presumably into the US MIC”
Few years ago, Saudis put 500 billion in US MIC. Didn’t help against Houthies.
And if you want to know how these funds disappear, you can rely of an official statement of the Netherlands Court of Auditors (NCA):
http://rekenkamer.presurf.nl/public/browse/20170411120034/http://www.rekenkamer.nl/english/Latest_News/All_newsitems/2014/06/Thematic_website_shows_NATO_s_limited_transparency_and_public_accountability_for_its_expenses
“There is therefore no clear answer to the question: is NATO delivering value for the taxpayers’ money? … From hundreds of investment projects, some of which date from before 1994, the accounts have not been closed. … The accountability information of dozens of NATO entities is fragmented … the common funding budget in 2013 for NATO’s military, civilian and investment projects was € 2.4 billion…”.
The NCA published a dedicated section on NATO accountability to force NATO to become transparent on their use of public funds on issues not under security related restrictions. More recent statements of the NCA suggest that remains still an uphill battle improve unlawful financial management by NATO entities.
Acting in the war business is a racket, too.
2% of GDP to NATO is the Vassal Tribute to their Overlord.
Americans are frantically running about with a torch in hand. I am sure some in Poland and the Baltics realize they’re masters are insane and their “protection” was a false notion. I think they’re in too deep now. Just pray the US doesn’t get the escalation they desire.
Brave Sir Robin is monty python at its best
Thanks for reminding me
And it sums up the US/UK today perfectly
Zelensky said on March 6 that the West or the Americans wanted Ukrainians to be killed, and he may have repeated the sentiment since. So he has insight into that but may lack the guts to frustrate it.
Read this before in another article I think ? No need to keep repeating
If past is prologue, right as Ukraineis about to lose, the CIA,or MI6 helps them shoot down MH17 and blame it on the Donbass Separatists or the Russians.
Likewise, a venomous snake strikes when you try to chop off its head.
I would say the risk of a false flag is at maximum in the coming two weeks.
False Flag events are for public consumption to garner support for a war effort. Its possibility is directly proportional to the desire of its proponents to enter the war or take some direct warlike action.
While some Ukrainians may be desperate to draw in NATO, the US (NATO) has already ramped up the rhetoric to “11” and still declines to put boots on the ground in Ukraine. The public has been seemingly whipped into an obscene frenzy, yet almost nobody posting Ukrainian flags on their social media pages wants to go to war. They want the Ukrainians to win their war. That’s where it ends.
People speak about another chemical weapons false flag. That ship has sailed so many times that nobody outside of the naive western public and their deluded politicians would believe it. Certainly, not the governments of countries who don’t already support the anti-Russian effort.
The hysterical reaction of the West suggests to me that they did not expect Russia to go this far. Their “bleed Russia” strategy through an attack on the Donbass by carefully fanaticized Ukrainians and mercenaries has been knocked on its back foot by Russia destroying most of the materiel needed to do the bleeding. Now the western proxies are bleeding and their supporters are scrambling to throw money and more materiel at the problem. But it will soon dawn on them (if the missile strike near Lvov hasn’t already lit the lightbulb in their dim heads) that Russia will destroy it as it arrives and not permit volunteers streaming into Ukraine to organize.
So, I don’t think a false flag is likely. If it occurs, it won’t ultimately matter, because it appears Russia is “all in” and willing to play its nuclear deterrent if pushed into a wider conflict. Hopefully, Russia’s opponents calling the shots behind the scenes see the same thing and hold their impulses in check.
While i agree with the conclusions of this article, i strongly dislike the methodology. I dislike it for the same reason i have lost all respect for the scientific community: The appeal to mathematics.
Yes, maths don’t lie. But that’s because maths are MEANINGLESS without the data you put in. And scrutinity of the data is completely outside the realm of mathematics. Same for the conclusions drawn from the results.
Ever heard the phrase “Garbage in, garbage out”? Well, if all your focus is on maths and conformity, not data verification and logical scrutinity, garbage is exactly what you get. Does that mean the conclusions of this article are false? No, i already said i agree with them. It’s just the argument “The maths say so, so it must be true” is way below the intelectual standard in other articles on this blog.
I think it’s supposed to be satire.
… “making resupply for the Kiev Government almost impossible, I think I lost my mind somewhere in Paragraph 3…”
Like F(unny) Man said, the moment he sank into the math his mind went somewhere else. Truth be told you only need the math you can do on your fingers here – all the propaganda to talk up the Ukie side’s chances can be seen through by a 5 year old who knows how to play marbles. The West however views its publics as being a lot less smart than that, and their endless diet of fearporn shreds IQ. It isn’t funny.
Well said!
At this stage of the game ( wealthy westerners fancy ) politicians of all denomination in Europe should be fearful for their lives and talk of revolution abound. Those treasonous leeches have sold their soul and country for personal power and wealth and like the Ukrainian parliament should all face trial for crimes against humanity, aiding and abetting terrorists and terror organisations.
Western governments have all knowingly, willingly, contributed to financing, training and arming the worst scum on the planet who’ve committed horrific atrocities, genocide in fact, upon the innocent brave peoples of Donbass who’ve stood their ground and sought nothing but to live freely on their land and to not be ruled over by Nazis.
These people are Heroes, and yet, our so-called Governments are sending lethal aid to butcher them.
My contempt for the fake Bleeding Hearts Public is as strong as my contempt for the treasonous scum sitting in Parliament. May they suffer long-term themselves in ignorance of their own and their government’s folly.
Maybe he comes from an alternate timeline…
where understanding satire, sarcasm, humour, etc… have been genetically extirpated from the human genepool…
Such lateral transfers between diferent timelines sometimes happen.
a clear example is the last presidential Elections in the USA.
By the Way, Maths doesn\t lie… unless off course, Point 8 of the References apply to you.
I also support the LPR,DPR and Russian army against Mr Ze, but the
sad truth is that will to fight may cause one side to give up even if it is winning, like Vietnam. Russia may have the trajectory of media and general sentiment under control, but it IS the only field of battle that the West has in Ukraine, and they are milking – muchly. I would suggest that they will eventually lose this PR war as well but it is an arena where they deployment of forces in the west are not to Russian advantage. I do see a turning of sorts as internet media outlets like Zero Hedge are on our side, but mainstream media, not so much. Even Tucker Carlson, the best hope we have, always prefixes his useful remarks with the obligatory castigation of Russia, but then he may host Aaaron Mate so I think his heart is right, but lacking courage to go head to head with network forces, – if he did, he would be gone. Time to pray Russia can win soon. I think next week will be huge.
Vietnam is on the other side of the globe and it was never a threat to the U.S. U.S. went into that war after the French lost control there. It was a war with no good purpose. Meanwhile Ukraine is in Russia’s neighborhood/border and it part of Russian history, and NATO is an extreme threat to Russia, so Russia has to keep strong against it.
US goes into to take over the colonies of other countries. Hence, they’ve never been about independence or freedom.
I wish I knew what is going to happen and when. My Mrs. wasn’t willing to evacuate and remains in our home about 40km South of Kiev. But she pushed and pushed me until I took the children and the cat to Germany. She and her neighbors are concerned about looters/marauders taking everything they’ve built. As looters are being shot on sight, and the neighbors are armed, I am praying that they all stay safe. This is hell for me and my kids, as it is for hundreds of thousands of people.
But I fear deeply that NATO will continue to push until they’ve fought the Russians down to the very last Ukrainian. Every time Mr. Zelensky sounds open to diplomacy, the West starts escalating again.
And if the Western/Ukrainian press can be believed, and if Russia were to be halted on the ground, and/or if NATO actually gets involved, I could see Russia leaving Ukraine completely destroyed.
The West doesn’t care about the suffering of the Ukrainians. They wanted their proxy war against Russia, and now we’re all in danger of extermination.
Nothing seems good any more. If we get a Russian government in Kiev, I couldn’t really blame them for confiscating my home (I’m an American who moved to Ukraine with my Russian/Ukrainian wife years ago to start a small business). I spent my modest life savings for a home, and moved all my earthly belongings there, in spite of the corruption, to raise my children among people who have traditional values (as most my neighbors do).
Most of all, I just want my wife of 25 years back in my arms. She delivers food and medicine to elderly neighbors, volunteered to carry wounded if necessary in our minivan. I am unworthy of her.
Please, gentlemen, find a way to stop this? I pray for both countries and leaders.
Very moving indeed.
I pray with you my dear.
God bless.
Unfortunately, Russia is defending herself against the US leadership, which just keeps doubling down on everything. The US is determined to create chaos, conflict, and criminal acts where-ever it can be imagined. They work hard to think up how to F*** up the world. Actually, they are sort of amazing – very imaginative! And Russia has to keep blowing up their sh**, until they quit, and Russia is safe. Who knows how long it will take??? The good thing is that the RF (Russian Federation) seems determined to keep at it, which is the first time any nation has done this to the US bully-terrorist. Thank God for the RF, and its esteemed president!!
Worried in Germany,
God bless you and your family.
I too have family locked in Ukraine and we are worried sick
Worried in Germany –
my friend, I really wish all the best for you and your family!
Very touching, your report.
May God bless You and Your loved ones!
The West had taken advantage of Kiev’s misfortune. The US wants many to die in Kiev. Are you a man and left a woman alone near Kiev? I can’t understand! Women should be the first out of the scorching Ukrainian hell. Madness took over the decadent West.
Silas, I am an American citizen and not a spring chicken. I tried to convince her to come, and to let me stay. I didn’t want to go, but she pleaded with me over and over again until I took the kids.
But yeah, I feel exactly like the sort of man you described me as. Were it not for my children, I’d be headed back already. I still try each day to convince her to take one of the many evacuation busses to us. She’s as stubborn as one might expect Slavic women to be.
keep the faith strong, and your family is now your children. I’m sorry about your situation. Try to show her the gravity of the situation around Kiev. Show the neo-Nazis. Show videos and situations to her, press her. You’re American, and you’re used to male women in the US. Slavs are feminine, and they like strong men, and in this situation you must impose, and show that her stubbornness and delusion will have serious consequences. She is now in the worst place in the world for a woman to be. Now, in Ukraine, there is a strong trafficking in human and women. But don’t abandon your children. She is deluded not realizing the role of neo-Nazis, and thinking that the Russians will not be determined. The stubbornness and alienation of the Ukrainians is impressive. They are in a bubble and have completely lost touch with reality and historical memory. The US has brainwashed it impressively.
Hello fella,
I spent the day doing the same thing I have done since 2010. I read reports, opinions, watched close air support and artillery do their thing, viewed the photos of dead bodies, equipment and buildings burning. Along that road, I discovered more about what I already knew from my days in the USMC. Families and those who have absolutely nothing to do with it always, always suffer the most. They also show the most courage, generosity and compassion. At one point today I decided to listen to music I have not heard in a while, New Age stuff from Kitaro , Yanni , Enya and Vangelis. This reminded me that there is part of us that not even war can take away.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MTSOYo4TvfE
You had 25 years with someone who has that kind of character? You had something extremely special and nothing can take that away.
This thing will go to the end and nothing is going to stop that. If I could do you and others a favor and make it halt, I would. I can´t. Get a hold of solice anyway you can. Forget about hope, it left the concert. Just hold on to what was good about her and think about, whether or not you did all you could for her all along your life together. Take care of the kids. Whatever you figure out, don´t look back with it, use it in whatever time you have left in your life.
And the truth is, none of us are safe, ever.
I wish well to you and those you love.
John
It is too late for that but think about the middle east where millions died,from weapons of “mass democracy”? She has a very good chance of survival, thanks to Russia’s humanity.
Is this a real warning or a stunt?
Probably need some Russian language skills to read the source.
An outrage WMD false-flag is all the west has left, really at this point.
KGB of South Ossetia is warning of the threat of provocations in Ukraine using weapons of mass destruction
https://cominf.org/en/node/1166541965
An American “Combat Sustainment Support Battalion” will dole out 1400 tons of supplies to their Brigade each day, and since the Ukro´s have been Angloized I guess that each Ukro brigade needs maybe 800-1200 tons each day(Fuel, spare parts, equipment and Ammo being the most important since I take for granted that they will take food from the civilians if it comes to that), so keeping in mind that the Russians have targeted their supply chain I´d say that the Ukro´s in the East are effed beyond doubt.
If I´d hazard a guess I´d think that Ze has written them off and the supplies stay in the Western part, they use the Eastern forces like the Germans used the encircled 6th Army under Paulus, delay.
It doesn’t take pretentions of higher math to understand Russia force will suppress Ukrainian if it wants to.
Those whiz kids applying their higher math with slide rules got their asses kicked in the Nam.
Unpleasant awakening at the Yavorovsky training ground (NATO center in west Ukraine)
“As a result of the arrival of “Kalibevs” by detours at the Yavoriv training ground (where the United States and its satellites trained the Ukrainian military for war with Russia), according to official Ukrainian statements (which of course are not particularly trustworthy), 9 soldiers were killed and 57 wounded, including foreign instructors.
In total, according to the Lviv Regional State Administration, 8 rockets arrived at the test site.”
https://https/colonelcassad.livejournal.com/7491835.html
They didn’t even get to the front line
Something stinks with this Brent Renaud death. First clue was the footage of him being carried on a stretcher, holding his arms up on his chest, blinking, perfectly framed camera work. Even the way people are behaving looking more like a performance than an actual emergency. And then there’s that. Why are they rushing him (very slowly) out of there, when a close up shows a hole in his head–below the right ear, where you’d get shot if someone walked up behind you with a pistol. They say he was shot in Kiev, and clearly shot by small arms, but Russia hasn’t entered Kiev. They’re way outside small arms ranged. If he was hit with a sniper round, there’d be no head.
Have the Ukrainians murdered an American for propaganda, in the hopes it will draw the US into a conflict with Russia?
Wait, till they put him in an incubator, trying to revive him, and the report, that VVP personally pulled the plug from the extension cord, so he died anyway…
Incubators and Zyklon B.
that is the trajectory…🙄
He is US intelligence (according to the Iranians).
Today, the news that Brent Renaud, a documentary filmmaker and journalist, was killed in Ukraine, was widely distributed. And so, the “journalist” turned out to be an employee of American intelligence.
Earlier, he was already highlighted on the American operation in Iraq — the Iranian media identified him as a US intelligence officer. A representative of the New York Times also denied that the deceased worked for the publication, and on the body of the “journalist” they found a certificate that was issued to him “many years ago”.
https://aftershock.news/sites/default/files/u21540/%D0%91%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%20%D0%A0%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BE.jpg
From daily summary:
https://aftershock.news/?q=node/1079011
MSM vs ground reality
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1503004351975075845.html
https://twitter.com/j_bigboote/status/1502023889664233472?s=20&t=vYeqlo9kuGChL6vDz_nrw
How about, first of all, getting place names right? So the reader can actually follow what places are referenced. Korosten-Zhytomyr-Vinnytsia-Yampil. The author’s shot at place names is neither English, nor Ukrainian, nor Russian. As a reader, that makes me a little angry.
Second, whatever forces or weapons Russia has within reach of Western Ukraine, it’s obvious that 2 weeks into the operation, everybody and his uncle is coming and going as they please. This goes for roads as well as trains. Trains almost everywhere in Ukraine are running on schedule. Added to this, there are special additional trains running, bringing people out of the country and humanitarian goods in. Concerning those humanitarian goods, at least that’s what Ukrainian Railways claim, they’ve stated that they won’t transport weapons or munitions. I can only hope it’s true. And I can only hope that Russia has the means to check the situation, and the will to use them.
The top Nazi scum and top government idiots can escape whenever they want to. And the Nazi or adventurer scum of EU and NATO countries can come in whenever they want to. Also weapons are coming in, on regular civilian pickup trucks. Those are the facts on the ground. I find that a bit odd, and also unfair to the soldiers risking their lives to end the Ukrainian madness.
The Yavorsky proving grounds were bombed only yesterday. So the NATO instructors who are responsible for the mess in Ukraine and on whose hands is the blood of Russian soldiers were given a lot of time to escape to safety, and continue their mischief. Russia didn’t think it necessary to stop them right from the beginning, or so it appears. At the same time, Russia doesn’t think it necessary to prevent the low-level mercenaries from entering Ukraine, although it’s clear that they will harm at least some Russian soldiers in the coming days and weeks.
As I said, I find that all a bit odd, and also unfair.
Thank you, Andre.
Some of the names where the action was supposedly taking place yesterday were in Kazahkstan, one in Russia, east of Moscow. You need credibility. I usually check a mapping web site to find out where in Ukraine the fighting is taking place. As a minimum, all the places where the fighting is taking place must be in Ukraine. Or I will stop believing you. TIA
Cesar Jeopardy
Can someone explain these developments to me ?
1) After all the US has done to Venezuela ? Seriously ? Why would Venezuela even talk to the US dogs ?
– Venezuela is Russia’s ally, but is ready to sell oil to US – minister –
https://www.rt.com/russia/551785-venezuela-russia-ally-oil-us/
2) The US has stolen 300 billion from Russia and will never give it back. This is a massive amount of money . What has Russia done in retaliation ?
– The country’s finance minister confirmed that nearly $300 billion of Russia’s forex holdings have been seized –
https://www.rt.com/business/551803-siluanov-russia-reserves-frozen/
There’s no eternal allies but only fleeting interests in geopolitics…
Venezuela wants it’s gold back that was seized by the US and also a substantially large amount of concessions.
That doesn’t mean that they will become a puppet regime of the US. That means they will sell them Oil but with a massive bargain for their own interest.
That is old news and already debunked. About half of Venezuelan oil industry belongs to Russia as Russian government bought the stake some time ago.
” About half of Venezuelan oil industry belongs to Russia ”
Will that t half sell the oil to the ZioAmericans then ?
Regarding the freezing of forex reserves, Russia can retaliate by confiscating physical assets of western businesses in Russia.
Also they can ignore patent rights of western products. I heard that the Russian govt has done it already for pc games. If they extend that for other products as well, it would cost a humongous amount for Western businesses.
That’s precisely what the russians intend to do -seizeing physical assets. As for those $300 bln, – in the final analysis they’re just numbers in a computer database – the west can keep those numbers for itself.
No vodka was injured in the writing of this analysis.
(We just saw the world’s first saturation cruise-missiling at Yavoriv.)
The Russian MoD claims that Starychi, about 10 miles from Yavoriv, was also hit. This is where the US forces prefer to hang out.
From daily summary:
https://aftershock.news/?q=node/1079011
Most of them fled weeks ago.
That article is utter Bullshit…
Don’t get me wrong, I’m a Putin fan, but that doesn’t mean that you can make me believe shit like that..
Because according to your math, the USA would have won both Vietnam and Afghanistan.
Now do your math again…
Has everyone lost their sense of humor? This is a bit of a tongue in cheek piece.
Look at that last line. “I think I lost my mind somewhere in Paragraph 3…”
Infinite re-supply changed the equation for vietnam… and their will to fight was infinite, too.
q. e. d.
thx comrade Symba.
maybe the “H2W2” Formula have something of true behind it…
what a Jackpot!
Exactly.
More to the essential point, if some people still can’t understand the principles critical within an event 60 completed years ago, how can they possibly understand the principles critical to an event unfolding dynamically in real time?
Vietnam definitely had the logistics in place, Russia and China kept them supplied. Afghanistan had so much supplies in place, they could have fought indefinitely, even Pakistan was supplying them.
Something like 80% of the Ukie forces are now stuck in cauldrons with no hope of resupply, what is the other 20% supposed to do? They have no tanks to contest matters with, even NATO doesn’t have enough tanks in Europe to make a difference. Russia will just keep grinding away until all resistance crumbles.
Modern warfare is all about the production pipeline, that is more important than either the strategy and tactics of the generals or the capability of the troops. Europe has gone green, no production pipeline there. Russia holds all the cards, and all the gas.
first,
this was a humorous satire! a little of truth enveloped in Humour…
have you lost your marbles?
I wrote it in about 10 minutes… there is no H2W2 Formula and Such…
read the references (at the end of the Text) and it is clear that … after paragraph 3… yes (like any sane person) I lost my mind.
I know the events are quite serious, but… taking into account that the Commander in Chief of the Ukie Army is a Clown (professionally speaking, and no ofense meant to them, I quite like clowns in general) maybe this little essay might get to him and stop the carnage.
Because no matter how you write or show it, things are quite clear here. Ukraine is doomed.
Yes, sure there are formulas to calculate attrittion rates, losses, supply consumption, readyness of troops, combat efectivenes, etc. of which Mr Martianov and the Saker (just to mention a couple) are much more able to write serious articles, essays, entire books about it.
This one it is just some humorous satire, the problem being that it shows only the Truth.
Agreed, I’m quoting F.Mans H2W2 (Pty) (Ltd) (Phd) (whatever) formula forever from now on :-)
Just look at the Japanese during WW2, they had a P2 of 0.9 and a P1 of 0, so it was inevitable that they would lose. Similarly the Germans had a P2 of 0.9 and a P1 of 0.1, so they were bound to lose if the war took too long, no oil. The Germans needed their Blitzkrieg to succeed else they were kaput.
oh, oh; U.S. have just issued a barely veiled threat of ‘alliance’ action against russia should it use (evidence or no) chemical weapons in ukraine….here we go
Sorry, but I am not convinced by this analysis, and I hope my comment will not be deleted because of this.
My own impression as a layman interested in military affairs at this point is that roughly three weeks into the campaign, Russia is finding that the assumptions, assessments and plans on which this operation were based to have been utterly flawed.
The ground forces that were allocated are insufficient to effect a rapid breakdown of the enemy and his capacity to offer resistance across the country. Russian troops look overstretched and appear to be bogged down in multiple locations. Ground forces don’t seem to be available in sufficient strength to bypass occupied and contested areas and advance further, deep inside the country, towards, say Dniepro, Tscherkassy, let alone westward towards Ukraine’s border with NATO states, in any significant number.
Why is the VDV not airdropping or landing, say, 20-30’000 troops deep in central or western Ukraine? Is that not what what they are here for? Has the VDV already committed all of its resources, or have Ukraine’s air and air defence assets not been sufficiently degraded by now? Would it not be possible to keep such a force resupplied or mobile?
The offensive appears stalled. My guess is that unless the vastly overwhelming majority of Ukraine’s fighting forces are encircled and trapped in the east of the country, and awaiting capitulation or annihilation, I can’t see how a very bloody week-long or even month-long battle over Kiev can be avoided. I would appreciate to read opinions of other people interested in the military side of things.
Some interesting observations on logistics:
https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/1502732464980172802
Andrew, this is why we mostly listen to the professionals. I think I’ll go and post up the Russian Mod for this morning.
Here is a bit of your ‘stalled offensive’. The Russians are not dropping troops because they can still use long range weapons. They are taking out the military potential of the Ukraine, not running a Blitzkrieg or a massive bombing of everything and everybody.
▪️On the morning of March 13, a high-precision long-range weapon struck the training centres of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Starichi and at Yavorovsky training ground.
On the basis of these centres, the Kiev regime deployed: a training and combat coordination point for foreign mercenaries before being sent to combat areas against Russian military personnel, as well as a storage base for weapons and military equipment coming from foreign countries.
As a result of the strike, up to 180 foreign mercenaries and a large batch of foreign weapons were destroyed.
The destruction of foreign mercenaries who have arrived on the territory of Ukraine will continue.
▪️💥On the afternoon of March 13, aviation and air defence of the Russian Aerospace Forces shot down in the air: 1 Su-24 aircraft of the Ukrainian Air Force near Novy Bykiv settlement, as well as 11 unmanned aerial vehicles, including 2 Bayraktar TB-2.
✈️💥Operational-tactical, army and unmanned aviation hit 46 military infrastructure assets of Ukraine, including: 3 command posts, 1 anti-aircraft missile systems, 3 MLRS, 1 electronic warfare station, 2 ammunition and fuel depots and 33 areas of military equipment concentration.
💥In total, during the operation, 3,736 objects of the military infrastructure of Ukraine were disabled. Destroyed: 100 aircraft, 139 unmanned aerial vehicles, 1,234 tanks and other armored combat vehicles, 122 multiple launch rocket systems, 452 field artillery guns and mortars, 1,013 units of special military vehicles.
Also go and read the last two paragraphs here from Maryanov:
http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2022/03/inevitable-question.html
I might as well say it. There is a humanitarian operation happening concurrently with a war. Tons of emergency food and materials are being flown in and distributed. Towns are being put back on their feet and into local management (if there is)
https://t.me/intelslava/22242
https://t.me/intelslava/22243
and the mercenaries are running
https://t.me/intelslava/22244
And we may as well look at this little series
https://t.me/intelslava/22229
https://t.me/intelslava/22230
https://t.me/intelslava/22231
https://t.me/intelslava/22232
https://t.me/intelslava/22233
https://t.me/intelslava/22245
(intelslava because it is English)
The peacekeeping mission is moving ahead swimmingly.
1) The Ukie units in the cauldron are being slowly knocked out of action. Yesterday a PBS map showed roughly 1/2 the Ukie brigades that started in the eastern area as no longer in the Ukie order of battle.
2) Peacekeepers made a Deep thrust threatening Dinpro in the rear. If the peacekeepers can hold this then that’s-all-she-wrote for the eastern front
3) Odessa supply routes under fire.
4) Uman road junction appears to be at risk of coming under fire. If Uman gets liberated then the Peacekeepers will have accomplished a double Cannae.
Andrew, your conclusions that the advance has stalled or is in trouble is based on your assumptions of what you think should have happened.
According to Lavrov, Russia’s plans are secret.
However, it is clear that this operation is totally different to the 2008 war in Georgia where the idea was to trash the country from the air to prevent further problems. Assuming the Saker is right in his analysis of a long, slow advance that winkles out defenders while killing as few civilians as possible – and that does seem to be exactly what is happening – then we will probably have a long drawn out affair advancing by fits and starts as major urban centres are gradually overrun and cleansed.
And if a city resists then there is a high chance of a lot of displaced civilians and thus refugees to burden the West which I am sure has not escaped RF military planners.
Finally, I find it absolutely incomprehensible that someone like Putin who has built up the Russian state over 22 years into a respected world power – stable, affluent, terrorist-free – would not be able to plan a military operation without getting it so badly wrong that it “failed” after a couple of weeks.
Thanks for the reply.
“Finally, I find it absolutely incomprehensible that someone like Putin who has built up the Russian state over 22 years into a respected world power – stable, affluent, terrorist-free – would not be able to plan a military operation without getting it so badly wrong that it “failed” after a couple of weeks.”
What do you make of the news of Putin having dismissed several generals and put the head of the FSB under house arrest? If everything is going according to plan, why this “purge”?
What do I think? Well I think you should stop reading Ukie propaganda and spreading it here.
Hola Amaranth,
About this guy Brunner
As you look at his sources etc.: it is a group of China and Russia haters.
Slowly they try to get you away and distract you from what is important. Another sort of trolling.
Cheers, thx for all your hard work.
Greetings fro mexico
“What do you make of the news of Putin having dismissed several generals and put the head of the FSB under house arrest? If everything is going according to plan, why this “purge”?”
Sorry, but that completely gave your game away. All these palace coups are western psyops.
Andrew Brunner, You can’t be so stupid that you think that there is a possibility that Putin has dismissed several generals and put the head of the FSB under house arrest, Therefore, I have a strong suspicion of your motive for posting on this blog.
lol …………… purge, pffffft, your funny.
Yor were apparently expecting – and are unable to conceive of an alternative to – a US style invasion that starts with bombing a country back to the stone age, including civilian infrastructure (because it is “dual use”).
The primary thing that this accomplishes is making generational enemies of the people there. Russia does not want to make Ukraine an enemy, it wants to rescue their familes there from destruction and occupation by NATO and the US.
That is why Russia tip-toed in, to avoid civilain casualties, to preserve civilian infrastructure. The nationalists, installed, funded, trained and armed by the US and North American Terrorist Organization, are busy killing civilains and destroying everything as part of a propaganda campign against Russia.
Amarynth, Exile and Haymer have responded with some excellent commentary.
I will also add this, Russia has stated they are after a demilitarized, neutral state in the Ukraine. How they get there is solely based on the plans of the Russian Federation; nobody in the west, and damned few in Russia are privy to those plans.
I have Ukrainian roots and I support Russia in this position as I know ‘who’ has taken control of the Ukraine and there is a great deal of unpleasant history and generational hatred involved here. Ask my Ukrainian grandmother about the Russians and she liked them – they drove out the Turks. She hated the Turks for their raids on Ukrainian villages and she considered herself a member of the Slavic (Russian) peoples. Nationalism in Ukraine ramped up dramatically around 1919 in western Ukraine, and those groups have resoundingly morphed into the Ukrainian neo-nazi movement now controlling the Ukraine (note they do have an expiry date very soon).
What Russia has done in the Ukraine is essentially a ‘reconnaissance in force’ or an even better way to put this is as Andrei Martyanov stated ‘a combined arms police action’. So far Russia is operating in mainly Russian speaking areas and has at least the general indifference of most of the population, probably with the usual percentage supporting and dissenting. They have herded the Ukrainian forces into cities which are static positions with no logistical support where their surrender or elimination can be pursued at the leisure of the Russians and allies. As Russia progresses farther west, the population changes more to Ukrainian and other language speakers with substantially less support for the Russian Federation. To drop a few thousand paratroopers into this region risks a Russian cauldron and requires additional support forces, why do that when there is no need? The Russians can stand off and control the border through missile and aircraft strikes with no risk to Russian forces and little risk to civilian population.
Once some of the city cauldrons are eliminated – think Mariupal – the advance will continue at greater pace. The US took several weeks to occupy Baghdad after obliterating everything in the way so you can’t complain about a ‘stalled offensive’ after only 15 days and with over 40% of the Ukraine land territory and 100% of the sky under Russian control.
Finally, infrastructure, Russia is trying to limit infrastructure damage as the cost to rebuild is high and the civilian population will remember the pain of destroyed infrastructure for a long time. This requires a slower form of warfare than simply destroying everything like the US was want to do in Iraq, but the population will tend more to neutrality if the infrastructure is generally kept in reasonable condition. When the UAF and their Galician overlords dig in – think Mariupal – different story, here saving civilian life is primary target with elimination of the hostiles second, saving infrastructure not so much.
Russia is waging a very ‘Asian’ style of operation here. You would do well to study Cao Cao and Liu Bei’s campaigns where the primary goals were to conquer the territories but not spill one drop of gain.
To compare this invasion with the US invasion of Iraq is a non starter.
Sorry, but I wouldn’t even know where to begin. It is not worth my time, aside from this post. I would be typing for hours…
It is not a dick measuring contest and the simple fact, that natoistan is shouting loud insults from afar confirms it.
Their house of cards is exposed for all to see.
All their weapons deliveries is in vain – the best these demons can hope for, that those weapons will destabilize (central) Europe for the next decade – and that is something…
Start to think ahead, try to develop concepts, that actually correspond to the new reality(politics, economics, sociology).
Otherwise You will not make it.
It is a moment of true awakening for Humankind.
@mothertrucker,
From your response, it appears you either did not read my post or were responding to someone else.
Cheers!
No, I`ve read it, and I didn`t post to argue with anything You have said in particular, just that the concept of comparing this with that is not worth doing. IMO.
Didn`t aim it at You, just that point was worth pondering in general.
So sorry, if my shorthand made my point moot. Mea Culpa…:-)
So little time…
I still wonder if the Russian’s throught a higher fraction of the UA army would surrender. I suspect many Ukrainian officers and local politicians are hesitant to join the Russian side due to the sanctions they, and their families will be subjected to.
@FkDahl,
I had considered that as well. There were some notable battalion level surrenders earlier on in the campaign but the Russian strategists likely factored in the ‘corseting’ that occurred over the last 8 years. In WWII the German Command would often attach German units to Italian and other troops to ‘stiffen’ them in combat and increase their combat reliability.
The Ukrainian government, being under the control of the neo-Nazi’s, replaced a lot of the Ukrainian officers with their own, embedded Azov and other groups within the AFU, and NATO essentially brainwashed any new recruits about how ‘superior’ their new training and equipment was to the ‘out of date’ and ‘obsolete’ ‘soviet’ system. The Azov Battalion has been reported to murder Officers who tried to lead their troops to surrender.
Must have been quite a shock to the UAF to suddenly find themselves in an ‘old fashioned’, ‘obsolete’ pincer movement and cauldron after massive logistical and intelligence failures.
Cheers!
USA wants this war more than any other country in the world.
Someone certainly does. That’s for sure. But it’s not the USA per se. It’s the same “folks” who’ve ridden roughshod over Ukraine for the last decade.
Logistics 101: Kalibr strike on Ukraine’s RD-33 engine manufacture / repair plant, as used in Mig-29s, at Lutsk
https://t.me/DonbassYasinovatayanaliniiOgnia/25107
An Azov base in urban Mariupol on the end of a highly targetted strike
https://t.me/RtrDonetsk/3284
At the disposal of the @wargonzo project was a video that recorded the destruction of the base of neo-Nazis from Azov, along with personal transport and military equipment.
Amateurs talk tactics, professionals talk logistics…
That is why the talk of sending Polish MiG-29s to Ukraine was so ridiculous:
*Where would they land?
*Who would fly them?
*How would they be re-fueled and re-armed?
I am also constantly amazed at how shortsighted (and plain stupid) NATO and the Ukrainian oligarchs truly were. Ukraine had all the best factories and technologies from the Soviet Union, same as Russia. Could you imagine how dangerous NATO would be if they had purchased:
*Antonov
*Ukrainian Sukhoi and MiG factories
*Ukrainian rocket and missile factories (early S-300s and P-270 Moskit/”Sunburn” are way better than what Ratheon produces even today!)
*T-80U tank factories (better than early M1 and Challenger tanks)
*Shipyards that built Slava-class cruisers (better than Ticonderoga-class ships)
Perhaps we should be thankful NATO never assimilated these Ukrainian systems and improved upon them.
https://www.rt.com/russia/551816-russia-ukraine-negotiations-progress/
Really ?
We don’t know the details but any change in the original objectives of “demilitarization” and “denazification” will be seen as Russia losing the war
Hope Russia does not back down from its original demands.
Moscow and Kiev may soon come to agreement – Russian negotiator
Ukraine said Russia was seeing the situation “much more adequately” than before
A member of the Russian negotiating team, Leonid Slutsky, has said he believes the “significant progress” he has observed in talks between Moscow and Kiev might soon lead the two sides in the conflict to sign an agreement.
Kiev (Zelensky) is incapable of agreement (just like his masters) and has no authority over the nationalists.
There us no end in sight. Washington is doing everything possible to drag this out. The neonazis will become a terrorist insurgency, fed from outside.
Yes, never stopp an enemy doing foolish things. (copyright ?)
Rising Sun (the east) watching the night fading.
mundo’s 2 ct.
According to Bellum Acta’s telegram, here is testimony from a USA
mercenaryformer US special forces operator (Afghanistan veteran) fighting with Ukrainian forces near Kiev since early February 2022:*Sitting close to the frontline, the last safe mode of transportation leaves for greener pastures. A core group of about 30 foreign fighters remains out of around 200 people who were here just minutes ago…
*The base we came from was struck by rockets in the early morning hours. People we lived with for a couple days are confirmed dead. It is only a metter of time before our location is targeted. We are about to be cut off by a Russian tank column any day now…
*Food, water, and ammunition dwindle slowly. The mood is somber, people are sending their last messages to friends and family. Where is NATO? Where is the supposed good of western civilisation?…
*
Some of my comments:
*Clearly this former US special forces soldier, for all of his training and experience, was ill prepared for war against a peer adversary.
* The NATO war planners are clearly amateurs that focused only on (guerilla war) tactics, while neglecting even basic logistics.
* NATO politicians, especially USA, clearly underestimated Russian will to fight. These same politicians are only good at projection their own viewpoints & thought processes onto others, thus assuming the Russian government would act like they would.
Despite its public image of bravado it will be interesting to see if the US military will learn any lessons from this “volunteer’s” bitter experience.
Food, water, and ammunition dwindle slowly. The mood is somber, people are sending their last messages to friends and family. Where is NATO?
Look behind you if you are looking for NATO. You’re not in Kansas anymore toto. Best scurry home while you have a chance.
Take what food and water you can carry, get rid of your weapons, and start walking West.
Seems Mr. US special forces operator should have asked that question a bit sooner.
@ Steve
I suspect their aiming systems are indeed out of order so it is more or less blind firing as an expression of hatred and frustration.
Their aiming systems are correct, their brains are FUBAR with the Nazi virus plus Octagon, and who knows what other drugs. Like the taqfiris, this is an army that marches on amphetamine/opioid-based drugs, and whatever else they can be provided with. Most of these nazis are low on supplies, they have scavenged all they could from the civilian population, drugs kill their appetite and keeps them on a frenzy, killing people.
Lone Wolf
It does not look like the Ukrainians can manoeuvre to any significant degree, which is even more deadly than the lack of logistics.
@ F(unny) Man
“…I think I lost my mind somewhere in Paragraph 3…”
I think so too.
2 + 2 is 4, and 404 is gonna lose the war?
This is an uproar!
Great post, F(unny) Man, thanks.
Lone Wolf
you are Welcome.
its Sad enough as it is…
I would sometimes cry in despair, because of what is happening… the lies, the hubris…
it keep me sane, to laugh at them.
I can’t find a copy of ‘On the indigenous peoples of Ukraine’ No. 1616-IX’ which Zelensky signed opn July 2021 and the RADA adopted. All links to it are blocked.
I saw today that he announced something like ‘all your Russian things are mine now’ signing a law that lets him seize anything belonging to Russian residents of Ukraine. This is basically what 1616-IX says–no Slaves have rights of citizenship, their land can be taken without payment to them, they have no right to speak their language, etc. Is this a new Israel? According to the law:
The indigenous peoples of Ukraine, which formed on the territory of the Crimean peninsula, are Crimean Tatars, Karaites, Krymchaks.
“The indigenous people of Ukraine are an autochthonous ethnic community that formed on the territory of Ukraine and is a bearer of a distinctive language and culture, which has traditional, social, cultural or representative agencies, self-awareness of itself as an indigenous people of Ukraine, constitutes an ethnic minority within its population and does not have its own state formation outside of Ukraine,” the president said in the document.
It is noted that indigenous peoples have the right to self-determination within Ukraine and political status within the Constitution and laws of Ukraine. They have the collective and individual right to full ownership of all human rights and fundamental freedoms.
The law prohibits denial of ethnicity or ethnic identity of the indigenous peoples of Ukraine.
According to this document, indigenous peoples have the right to observe the revival and development of their spiritual, religious and cultural traditions and customs, to preserve tangible and intangible cultural heritage; determination of the list of their own places and objects of religious and cultural significance; restoration of its historical place names; cooperation with educational institutions to ensure the study of their language, history, culture of the indigenous people.
Moreover, indigenous peoples have the right through representative agencies to create their own media and receive government support.
In addition, indigenous peoples can direct part of the income from the use of natural resources located in the territory of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea and Sevastopol for their own needs; for reservation for representatives of indigenous peoples, return to the territory of Crimea, agricultural and other land.
Representative agencies of indigenous peoples can participate in their international representation.
IMO
In terms of physics, appreciating complexity, war is actually the dynamic of social numerics, both qualitative and quantitative, which includes consciousness, from the state of complexity into the state of qualitative simplicity. This is Physics.
That is, Physics.
IOW evolution; it is the Principle of Life, that it to say, ‘to be being’; the verbe that defines Life itself.
Therefore, we evolve, in the terms of physical science, from existence, via change – aka ‘chaos’ – an ancient Greek term, into qualitative existence. This state of being, is a state of ‘irrational complementation’ or IOW, a state of ‘apprehension’ of the duality Principle directly belonging to the sciences of ‘electricity’. IOW, the Principle of ‘charge separation’, where ‘positive charge’ is distinctively and absolutely opposed to ‘negative charge’, such as where Life is represented by male and female, this relationship is the prime juxtaposition of potentiality and evolution. However, there are a few more primary Principles, one of which is that all of ‘Life’ are ‘capacitors’ and as such, radiate signal. All.
Creation, is alchemy. Complicity. Simple really.
The physics of ‘cellular biology’ expresses ‘Life’ very well. The future being the life and consciousness in the robotics – which eventually will replace biology.
Stupidity is merely misplaced ego.
Adamic man appears to be the basic form and primary principle of Life that exists on planetary surfaces throughout the Universe that are conducive to this form of ‘being’. However, it must evolve; it has the capacity to do so. If it fails, it repeats; this is not a problem as ‘time’ is infinite.
The key to evolution is the process of ‘knowledge’; it is an individual endeavour, with accomplishment as its end to continuity through the creation of the Soul.
The rest, in its social interactions are little more than nuances of judgment, similar to movies. ‘time’ is immaterial. Life is material. The individual is a potential “god” or heavenly Star. That is to say, a Principle.
Physics is the rationality of movement.
:-)
Such potentiality, is Nature.
twitter post by Pepe Escobar: Finance Minister Anton Siluanov confirmed that HALF of Russia’s gold and foreign reserves have been frozen.
This imbecile and other 5th/6th columnists better come up with a very good reason for placing Russia’s wealth where it can be easily stolen by the Empire of Thieves.
So how bad is this for Russia and how on earth could they go into a war in this state?
I read that Ramzan Kadirov got a degree in commerce. When this war is over I wonder if he would be a good candidate for Minister of Finance?
Stick around F(unny) Man! We’ll make you famous :-)
Here is Martyanov.
http://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2022/03/good-ol-truisms.html
@ Amarynth
Thanks for linking A.M. I am having a lot of fun this Sunday afternoon.
Cheers!
Lone Wolf
Today should have been April Fools day for sure.
Mossad torture base hit in Erbil. Iran RG claims responsibility.
https://www.veteranstoday.com/2022/03/13/breaking-iran-destroys-illegal-mossad-torture-center-in-erbil-with-massive-missile-attack-calling-it-like-it-is/
Field Grade Babushka:
https://www.veteranstoday.com/2022/03/13/nazi-slaughter-witness-exposes-ukie-false-flag-attack-on-village/
Hot digidy dog!
Salutations,
This is how I see it:
a). I feel that Ukraine is playing the role Germany was assigned and Zelensky playing the part Hitler was supposed to play (if he had not been sidetracked with the 1000 year Reich build up). Hitler as is also noted was an actual Nationalist which to the Elite variety must have caused great consternation but only he was at the level to orchestrate their project at the time. See these so called hidden movers and shakers are truly the spawn of satan, they influence history through events and study the causes and effects of such events only to modify and reuse them again. I believe it was Hitlery Klinton who remarked about Mao, that “we learned a great deal from him”. Meaning through the provoked arm struggle of the communist movement there were valuable lessons as in ‘for every loss, these is equally a great opportunity’.
b). Which brings me to the greatest fear that I have. Russia has survived many wars and upheavals throughout history. It has its proud heritage and historical experience. However, the great darkness has never let up. I feel we are at the early stages of a greater & final push by the dying empire. I feel they will use all their learned experiences and opportunities because lets face it they won’t exist in the same configuration, reset or no reset, their status quo will be no more. War is exhaustive business. When done correctly, if there is such a concept, it is to reach a political outcome. These demons do not care about winning or losing, they are hardly fightung the war themselves, they only care about draining the immense will and courage of Mother Russia and her peoples (and resources) and I fear with their own impending doom they have nothing else to lose. Whichever way they play it, they will be checkmated, they clearly outsmarted, outgunned, shit they are not in the same league, so I think they are trying to push Russia to the brink until She makes some kind of mistep then all the tabaquis will pounce. If your look at it from an existential approach the West has to kill the bear, and all these little hunters are scheming how to do it and the hunting party is on its first wave of attack. I know Russia is more than ready and capable but then again, War is a very exhaustive business. She could find herself boggged down in this struggle for a long time and hence unable to fulfill her destiny. Maybe I m worrying too much. But the current combined arms policing operation is the least of my worries, although I fear even if successful, it will just be the onset of another more horrifying stage.
That’s my paranoid two cents…
RT news:
Yuan deposits replace dollar and euro in Russian banks
The state lender is offering maximum interest rates for Chinese currency deposits to attract customers
https://www.rt.com/business/551718-vtb-yuan-deposit-dollar-sanctions/
The CPBoC [People’s Bank of China] is acting as the backstop of the present crisis — as the financial analyst from Credit Swiss predicted.
https://plus2.credit-suisse.com/shorturlpdf.html?v=4ZR9-WTBd-V
The multipolar world is being born…
Sir, We must have crossed paths in Geneva, my favorite corner, decades ago.
Anyway, the Swiss model, Confederation Helvetique, CH, with 4 national languages is obviously a model for Ukraine.
Has anyone from Bern ever proposed a CH model?
Did the Minsk negotiators avoid the CH model, as it is not EU, nor NATO?
Is that the the reason Macron and Merkel failed?
Just to quote the Rütli Oath from Schiller’s Wilhelm Tell :
“No, there is a limit to the tyrant’s power!
When the oppressed man finds no justice,
When the burden grows unbearable,
he appeals with fearless heart to heaven,
and thence brings down his everlasting rights,
which there abide, inalienably his, and indestructible as stars themselves.
The primal state of nature reappears, wherein man confronts his fellow man;
and if all other means shall fail his need, one last resort remains—his own good sword.
The dearest of our goods we may defend, From violence.
We stand before our country, We stand before our wives, before our children!
We want to be a single band of brothers, Never to part in danger or distress.
We want to be free, as our fathers were,
And rather die than live in slavery.
We want to trust in the one highest God, And never be afraid of human power.”
“The Rütli Oath”, Friedrich Schiller’s “Wilhelm Tell”
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2022/03/exclusive-american-group-vegas-one-us-firm-providing-consulting-mercenary-services-ukraine/
Las Vegas mercenary company is in Ukraine helping the orcs. Check out their video with guns and rap music plus money flying in the air. The idea being you can make big bucks being a merc for Kolomoisky-Zelensky-Nuland-Pinchuk-Clinton-Soros gang in the Ukraine.
I guess no one told these boys that the Russians have given the job of dealing with mercenaries to the Chechens. These boys from Vegas are going to learn their lesson the hard way. As they say in the American South “you can’t fix stupid.” No such thing as easy money unless you are a Senator or Congressman’s son with a fake job at Burisma or some other scam Ukie company.
Indeed they need to be alive to spend.
The shouting from the rooftops is that the Russians have been fought to a standstill but the analysis is right. The Ukros are not at a standstill, it’s worse for them, they are pinned down. If they can be prevented from being resupplied with heavy weapons, fuels and ammunition, then attrition will be their undoing. There is no way they will be able to hold out against Russian troops that are constantly being re-supplied. It’s even worse since their politics dictate that they have to go on the offensive once the idea of the Russians being at a standstill has taken ground. That will provide opportunities for local cauldrons. In the meantime Russians can concentrate on keeping their losses low, relying on drones to pick up Ukros that move about. The difficulty right now is located on the home front since too many false expectations were raised.
Remember that in WW 2 the U.S. and England specialized in carpet-bombing civilians in Germany, Japan and their allies. Plus two nukings of Japan’s civilian cities. Much easier than fighting opposing armies. It is thus amusing to see that the U.S. Ministry of Propaganda is shedding crocodile tears over Ukro cities and refugees.
The same MoP is demanding that the U.S. and its vassals start WW 3. The shills’ “experts” claim that peace-officer America can “win” a nukewar.
Given the crowd of mutant imbeciles in the Biden administration, maybe we will find out whether the shills’ claim is true.
Let’s be minimally realistic (it is not very Funny though):
War is not mathematics and even if it was, there are way more than 2 parameters involved in it.
Yemen has been under full seige for several years and they are still fighting. Ukranians, provided that enough number of them are eager to fight, can resist for years until Russia cannot afford to continue the war or a political settlement is acheived.
“only the dead know the end of war”
So, yeah.
But this phony dictate of “peace”, democracy, equity and such, that we have been withering in the shadow of – is over.
The Empire of lies – is over. The king is naked for all to see…
Time to think it through as to where Your true colors lie and act accordingly.
…and I do not even care, if You end up opposite of me – just be truthful to Your beliefs and be honorable.
THAT can be a start of a fruitful conversation.
ok, lets be realistic…
this “H2W2″formula it is quite simplistic.
but, you know? maybe I hit the Jackpot in my inspiration. as I found it more and more plausible.
you can add, and multiply more and more parameters… to define this P1 (supplies) and P2 (will of fight)
but… so long the results are not 0 (Zero) you have a chance…
in Yemen, we have :
on the side if the Houthi.
Supplies are at minimun (but they have something, and the means to replenish it, lets call it “a”) that means P1>0 and off course their “will to fight” is really over the cards (after seeing how the Houthis behave and fight) and that means P2≈∞
on the side of Saudis, et al…
Supplies are quite big (lets call it “A”) then P1>0 but their “will to fight” is null and that means P2≈0
the question is how close to 0 are each “t”
Which is bigger if compared?
apply the “H2W2” Formula to them and we have:
(Houthi) t = (a)*(∞)≈∞
(Saudi Proxie) t = (A)*(0)≈0
(Houthi) t ⋙ (Saudi Proxie) t
I can Predict a Victory of the Houthies over the Saudi Proxies.
let’s wait and See what is going to happen…
(damm, I should have named the H2W2 formula the F.MAN Formula… because it seems to work)
Understood, but here You measure a quantitative description of a thing against an other.
Which – as You see, is way many more ended that You thought of…given the investment. Sure. But You f***ed up.
How about making a qualitative description? A decade b4 you can even qualify to play in this game…Pink Toenail need to go…:-)
We are Not in Kansas anymore Dorothy…I am predicting silence….
Pls stop personal attacks. Mod.
k…it just gets nuanced…dont publish….yet, I whatever…I get it.
Auslander,
I wanted to buy some of your books here in US but I do not want to do it via Amazon. Is there any other way to buy your books?
Thanks,
Zoran
Naše sousední země, Slovenská republika podepsala smlouvu s USA asi před měsícem, o umístění americké vojenské základny. Smlouva se schválila ve zrychleném režimu.. Alternativa, která se k tomu nesmí vyjadřovat v podstatě, poukazuje zejména na to, že
– Slovensko nemá právo mít kontrolu nad osobami na základně, a ani těmi, které v této souvislosti přicestují na Slovensko
– území základny je výsostným územím USA
– a osoby spojené se základnou nepodléhají slovenským úřadům v oblasti jurisdikce, práva a neodpovídají za poničený soukromý majetek, atd.
Shrnuto velmi stručně, ale teď jen bychom chtěli doufat, že tam budou vojáci, vojenská zařízení, technika, zbraně, ale… doufejme, že ne laboratoře! A jak bychom to zkontrolovali? Na to samozřejmě nemáme právo!
Yandex translation. Mod:
Our neighboring country, the Slovak Republic signed an agreement with the US about a month ago, on the location of the US military base. The treaty was approved under an accelerated procedure.. The alternative, which must not comment on the substance, points out, in particular, that
– Slovakia does not have the right to have control over the persons on the base, nor those who come to Slovakia in this connection
– the territory of the base is the sovereign territory of the USA
– and persons associated with the base are not subject to the Slovak authorities in the field of jurisdiction, law and are not responsible for damaged private property, etc.
Summarized very briefly, but now we just want to hope that there will be soldiers, military equipment, equipment, weapons, but … hopefully not laboratories! And how would we check? Of course, we have no right to do that!
Omlouvám se, chtěla jsem to napsat pod článek o biologických laboratořích… moje chyba
Yandex translation. Mod:
I’m sorry, I was going to write it under an article about biological laboratories… my fault
What timing eh?
You`ll need to check out the signatures on those contracts…
nuff said…
“Summarized very briefly, but now we just want to hope that there will be soldiers, military equipment, equipment, weapons,”
What for?
Slovakia has just draped it’s entire land with a big target flag.
Smart, very smart….
Do You have access to any of the documents?
Could You send them out?
Djakujem
Alexander Pushkin: “To the Slanderers of Russia”
Why rave ye, babblers, so — ye lords of popular wonder?
Why such anathemas ‘gainst Russia do you thunder?
What moves your idle rage? Is’t Poland’s fallen pride?
‘ is but Slavonic kin among themselves contending,
An ancient household strife, oft judged but still unending,
A question which, be sure, you never can decide.
For ages past still have contended,
These races, though so near allied:
And oft ‘neath Victory’s storm has bended
Now their, and now our side.
Which shall stand fast in such commotion
The haughty Pole or faithful Russ?
And shall Slavonic streams meet in a Russian ocean? –
Or il’t dry up? This is the point for us.
Leave us!: Your eyes are all unable
To read our history’s bloody table;
Strange in your sight and dark must be
Our springs of household enmity!
To you the Kreml and Prága’s tower
Are voiceless all, you mark the fate
And daring of the battle-hour
And understand us not, but hate.
What stirs ye?
Is it that this nation,
On Moscow’s burning walls, blood-slaked and ruin-quench’d,
Spurn’d back the insolent dictation
Of Him before whose nod ye blenched?
Is it that into dust we shatter’d,
The Dagon that weigh’d down all earth so wearily,
And our best blood so freely scatter’d,
To buy for Europe peace and liberty?
Ye’re bold of tongue — but hark, would ye in deed but try it
Or is the hero, now reclined in laurelled quiet,
Too weak to fix once more, Izmail’s red bayonet?
Or hath the Russian Tsar ever, in vain commanded?
Or must we meet all Europe banded?
Have we forgot to conquer yet?
Or rather, shall they not, from Perm to Tauris’ fountains,’
From the hot Colchian steppes, to Finland’s icy mountains,
From the grey, half-shatter’d Kremilin wall,
To fair Kathay, in dotage buried
A steely rampart, close and serried,
Rise, Russia’s warriors, one and all?
Then send your numbers without number,
Your madden’d sons, your goaded slaves,
In Russia’s plains there’s room to slumber,
And well they’ll know their brethren’s graves!
1831.
Translator: unknown.
Say no more…RIP
…and I am ashamed, I have thumbs…
‘False flag’ chemical attack in Ukraine: a coming attraction.
Warning: it is “highly likely” the United States is now about to carry out a ‘false flag’ operation in Ukraine in which it will accuse the Russians of using chemical weapons
Unfortunately, it appears the Biden Administration does not listen closely to the President, or simply ignores him at times.
Joe Biden, or “Slow Joe,” has been much more sensible than all of his civilian cabinet members and assistants about avoiding anything which might precipitate a direct military clash with Russia in and around Ukraine, and opening the risk of escalation to nuclear war. I pointedly exclude the Pentagon here from the list of fools, because, on the contrary, they appear to be most sensitive to Russian capabilities and intentions.
Biden personally vetoed the madcap idea of transferring 29 MIGs from Poland to the Ukrainian air force notwithstanding the support it had from his Secretary of State. He personally vetoed declaring a ‘no flight zone’ over Ukraine which would be enforced by the United States and its NATO allies notwithstanding strong petitions to that effect from his own Democratic Party within Congress. In both cases, Biden seems to have taken with utmost seriousness the threat from the Russian military authorities to not merely shoot down warplanes entering the Ukraine theater but to missile attack the air bases from which they took off.
https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2022/03/13/false-flag-chemical-attack-in-ukraine-a-coming-attraction/
It, a very nasty false flag, may well take place (I mean, if they were willing to do 911…) , but such a crime and demonstration is merely theater for an audience that is irrelevant…the Russians couldn’t give a flying chit less. The die was cast, probably in 2014…now they will complete the task, denazification. (where, precisely, would that policy find it’s last criminal?)
Klemperer wrote about the German nazi propaganda about the outrages of the Reds on the Eastern Front, the glorious victories of the nazi armies…and translated it as “Wehrmacht is getting azz kicked”…he was a veteran and had the nose for bs.
At Cafe this was posted by a comrade (sorry, lost name)…illustrates goal rather bluntly. https://twitter.com/i/status/1502609238211899392
Somehow the mind is called to the past…https://external-content.duckduckgo.com/iu/?u=https%3A%2F%2Ftse4.mm.bing.net%2Fth%3Fid%3DOIP.iqardci2fJeFD0i6nw0mhQHaD4%26pid%3DApi&f=1
(Red Flag Reichstag)
A large part of the westerners on social media honestly think the Russians are stuck and are loosing, being totally unware of their progress. This of course prepares the psychological ground for a “Russian gas attack” since they are loosing and Putin is crazy.
” if you begin the war in haste, you will end it at your leisure, because you took up arms without sufficient preparation. ”
“and war is not an affair of arms, but of money which gives to arms their use, and which is needed above all things when a continental is fighting against a maritime power”
Here’s the timeless speech of Spartan king Archidamus [Thucydides, Peloponnesian war, book i, 80-85] – a must-read for the preparations of wars, and very fitting in our times.
«At my age, Lacedaemonians, I have had experience of many wars, and I see several of you who are as old as I am, and who will not, as men too often do, desire war because they have never known it, or in the belief that it is either a good or a safe thing. Any one who calmly reflects will find that the war about which you are now deliberating is likely to be a very great one. When we encounter our neighbours in the Peloponnese, their mode of fighting is like ours, and they are all within a short march.
But when we have to do with men whose country is a long way off, and who are most skilful seamen and thoroughly provided with the means of war,—having wealth, private and public, ships, horses, infantry, and a population larger than is to be found in any single Hellenic territory, not to speak of the numerous allies who pay them tribute,—is this a people against whom we can lightly take up arms or plunge into a contest unprepared? To what do we trust? To our navy? There we are inferior; and to exercise and train ourselves until we are a match for them, will take time. To our money? Nay, but in that we are weaker still; we have none in a common treasury, and we are never willing to contribute out of our private means.
Perhaps some one may be encouraged by the superior equipment and numbers of our infantry, which will enable us regularly to invade and ravage their lands. But their empire extends to distant countries, and they will be able to introduce supplies by sea. Or, again, we may try-to stir up revolts among their allies. But these are mostly islanders, and we shall have to employ a fleet in their defence, as well as in our own. How then shall we carry on the war? For if we can neither defeat them at sea, nor deprive them of the revenues by which their navy is maintained, we shall get the worst of it. And having gone so far, we shall no longer be able even to make peace with honour, especially if we are believed to have begun the quarrel. We must not for one moment flatter ourselves that if we do but ravage their country the war will be at an end. Nay, I fear that we shall bequeath it to our children; for the Athenians with their high spirit will never barter their liberty to save their land, or be terrified like novices at the sight of war.
Not that I would have you shut your eyes to their designs and abstain from unmasking1 them, or tamely suffer them to injure our allies. But do not take up arms yet. Let us first send and remonstrate with them: we need not let them know positively whether we intend to go to war or not. In the meantime our own preparations may be going forward; we may seek for allies wherever we can find them, whether in Hellas or among the Barbarians, who will supply our deficiencies in ships and money. Those who, like ourselves, are exposed to Athenian intrigue cannot be blamed if in self-defence they seek the aid not of Hellenes only, but of Barbarians. And we must develop our own resources to the utmost.
If they listen to our ambassadors, well and good; but, if not, in two or three years’ time we shall be in stronger position, should we then determine to attack them. Perhaps too when they begin to see that we are getting ready, and that our words are to be interpreted by our actions, they may be more likely to yield; for their fields will be still untouched and their goods undespoiled, and it will be in their power to save them by their decision. Think, of their land simply in the light of a hostage, all the more valuable in proportion as it is better cultivated; you should spare it as long as you can, and not by reducing them to despair make their resistance more obstinate.
For if we allow ourselves to be stung into premature action by the reproaches of our allies, and waste their country before we are ready, we shall only involve Peloponnesus in more and more difficulty and disgrace. Charges brought by cities or persons against one another can be satisfactorily arranged; but when a great confederacy, in order to satisfy private grudges, undertakes a war of which no man can foresee the issue, it is not easy to terminate it with honour.
And let no one think that there is any want of courage in cities so numerous hesitating to attack a single one. The allies of the Athenians are not less numerous; they pay them tribute too; and war is not an affair of arms, but of money which gives to arms their use, and which is needed above all things when a continental is fighting against a maritime power: let us find money first, and then we may safely allow our minds to be excited by the speeches of our allies. We, on whom the future responsibility, whether for good or evil, will chiefly fall, should calmly reflect on the consequences which may follow.
Do not be ashamed of the slowness and procrastination with which they are so fond of charging you; if you begin the war in haste, you will end it at your leisure, because you took up arms without sufficient preparation. Remember that we have always been citizens of a free and most illustrious state, and that for us the policy which they condemn may well be the truest good sense and discretion. It is a policy which has saved us from growing insolent in prosperity or giving way under adversity, like other men.
We are not stimulated by the allurements of flattery into dangerous courses of which we disapprove; nor are we goaded by offensive charges into compliance with any man’s wishes. Our habits of discipline make us both brave and wise; brave, because the spirit of loyalty quickens the sense of honour, and the sense of honour inspires courage; wise, because we are not so highly educated that we have learned to despise the laws, and are too severely trained and of too loyal a spirit to disobey them.
We have not acquired that useless over-intelligence which makes a man an excellent critic of an enemy’s plans, but paralyses him in the moment of action. We think that the wits of our enemies are as good as our own, and that the element of fortune cannot be forecast in words. Let us assume that they have common prudence, and let our preparations be, not words, but deeds. Our hopes ought not to rest on the probability of their making mistakes, but on our own caution and foresight. We should remember that one man is much the same as another, and that he is best who is trained in the severest school.
These are principles which our fathers have handed down to us, and we maintain to our1 lasting benefit; we must not lose sight of them, and when many lives and much wealth, many cities and a great name are at stake, we must not be hasty, or make up our minds in a few short hours; we must take time. We can afford to wait, when others cannot, because we are strong. And now, send to the Athenians and remonstrate with them about Potidaea first, and also about the other wrongs of which your allies complain. They say that they are willing to have the matter tried; and against one who offers to submit to justice you must not proceed as against a criminal until his cause has been heard. In the meantime prepare for war. This decision will be the best for yourselves and the most formidable to your enemies.»
Thus spoke Archidamus.
Whoa….what are you saying?
We should fuck the russkies up ye?
We should the ukies up?
Who should we fuck up in a name of Archidamus?
How about You?
What is Your next move?
Talk to me!
It looks indeed as Putin started the war in haste. Most likely these mobilized troops along the border of Ukraine were there initially just for deterrence for an Ukrainian attack on the Donbass.
Biden took his countermeasures. He pushed lots of countries to promise sanctions when Russia invaded Ukraine. It was never explicitly said so but this would also cover the situation where Ukraine attacked the Donbass and Russia then helped the Donbass. That put Putin in the awkward position where he would have to choose between sanctions and abandoning Donbass when it was attacked.
But then things became weird. Putin started to make lots of demands. Some sounded realistic but weren’t in the given circumstances. Such as the demand that Ukraine commit itself not to become NATO member. There was no chance that US puppet Zelensky would consent to that. The demand that NATO should be reduced to its size in 1989 was even less realistic. But the inevitable rejection was face loss for Putin. So one has to wonder why he made the demand. Are his intelligence services so bad that they couldn’t predict the rejection?
It looks like the decision for sending in the army was only made when that rejection became clear.
https://vk.com/@agitpapa-russias-special-military-operation-why-it-went-wrong
1. Russia first tried for a long time to sort out matters diplomatically.
With ambassadors, and agreements, and meetings, and councils – in general doing everything to find a working solution by peaceful means.
2. At the same time, there was preparation. Military development, repairs and renovation of existing equipment, and new weapons. Economical development, some autarky at least in the important sectors, infrastructure etc. Alliances were built on a more solid and permanent basis.
3. When all were ready, came the escalation, NATO (Atlantic Alliance) being the goal. Without NATO, USA will be a normal regional power without hegemonic ability.
Wars can last for a long time, especially great ones. There are many interesting analogies drawn from Thucydides, for the inevitable conflict between maritime and continental powers.
Of course we live in a different age now, and there won’t be a 30-year war. On the other hand, the situation in Ukraine is only the first step. Enemy reconnaissance.
The surviving Brazilian mercenaries of the Russian strike on the training base flee back to Poland and await their flight back home.
https://t.me/RVvoenkor/3592
I wish them a smooth flight back home.
And I wish this this to ALL the fighters, that were enlisted by the Empire of lies.
Truth CAN set them free.
This whole situation is unfortunate. Very few people in the Western world paid much attention to Ukraine until the Russian “invasion” happened. Now we’re all being told to pick a side, and only one side. If you sympathize with or even suggest a rational motive for the “enemy,” you’re branded a traitor and a Putin lover. The bright side is that there are a lot of people questioning the narrative, and feeling like they’re being deliberately lied to. I realized it simply is not possible to do a huge information dump on a person and expect him to believe it all, much less retain that data. So here’s a page where I’ve compiled all of the key issues and background information that I think is relevant to properly understanding what is happening in Ukraine right now.
Here’s a synopsis:
Ukraine is a Trap For Russia
This War Did Not Start Yesterday – Remember the Minsk Agreements?
The USA is Teetering on the Edge of Economic Calamity, Blaming Russia is a Useful Distraction
Fake News is Killing People
This is the Biggest Disinformation War in History
See the full thing (with links) here:
https://readingjunkie.com/2022/03/13/everything-you-need-to-know-about-ukraine-live-updates-open-thread/
Ukraine is rather a fire trap for NATO.
The bulk Russian Army isnt engaged in Ukraine and waiting for the Beast to make its fateful move into the crosshair.
Not to clot the scroll.
Thanks to newby Ian K. and for his good works in turning his light on and being another useful drop into the bucket. I’m reeding n feeding in.
Truly, reeding the written word is more valuable than hearing it contorted across west media spectrum. The diff tween a leisurely cycle thru the terrain to being derived/driven by car thru nonstop traffic peril with ‘roaring lions’ looking for a meal.
Now, throw it away.
I read there’s a Brazilian Mercenary, who survived the attack in Lviv and fled to Poland.
Allegedly he made some videos about it, or Instagram.
Anyone got a link to these videos?
I have not seen any Brazilian mentioned in anything I`ve seen. Hold fast!
Yes, I have some of the vids. Not pretty. Certainly not enough to identify anything, if that is what You areeasking.
I found this youtube video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MpcGGFB3mEU
Glad he got out.
I do not wish that kind of devastation on anyone.
In hand to hand combat, there is honour, will, skill, force and…ultimate life.
In modern war…
I read one American survivor’s account, one of the guys in the Reddit battalion. He was in a different barracks when the first barracks was hit, and he wisely ran away from the compound. He stated that they had some “crazy” Ukrainian officers who tried to make them survivors travel to the front in Kiev immediately. They refused and left Ukraine. The mercenary said that it would be suicidal to fight on the Ukrainian side now because no air cover, no artillery, and even the issued AK47s were of low quality. His expectation when he went to Ukraine was being able to ambush Russian infantry units.
Having seen some of the behavior on video of the Ukro Nazi filth who fled to Poland, I do wonder if Western Ukraine is beyond saving/de-Nazifying.
Having said that, Russia did somehow bring Chechnia back into its own sphere of influence…
More good news from the front:
https://sputniknews.com/20220313/russian-mod-up-to-180-foreign-mercenaries-killed-in-russian-strikes-on-ukrainian-training-centres-1093834690.html
Up to 180 foreign mercenaries were killed in precision strikes carried out by Russia against Ukrainian training centres located at the Yavorovsky military compound and near the settlement of Starichi, Russian Defence Ministry spokesman Igor Konashenkov has stated.
He elaborated that these centres were being used to train and organise foreign mercenaries to fight Russian troops in Eastern Ukraine, as well as to store weaponry sent to the country by foreign nations.
“We will continue to target foreign mercenaries who arrive on the territory of Ukraine”, Konashenkov stated.
Also, I found a few more interesting videos for today.
Russian MoD releases footage of UAV destroying Ukrainian multiple rocket launcher:
https://odysee.com/@RT:fd/uav_strike_13:0
The president of Abkhazia spoke at a rally in support of the special operation:
https://rutube.ru/video/81123dd6eca10646fa70c54fee1d731e/
After reading all the comments I have to remind the readers Putin has said that no more will ever be fought on Russian land ever again. I think if the Americans put boots on the ground they’re going to get nuked.
I believe Putin has also said that Russia has the coordinates of the elites’ planning centers (or something to that effect) and of their (southern hemisphere) hideaways. That should give them pause, if anything would.
As to Russia finance minister comment on FX reserves. If you were entering into an FX war, would you let your opponent know the reserves you had to fight them with? Nope. Zero chance he was telling the truth and my guess is Russia had accumulated a bunch more reserves than than the $600b on its books prior to the invasion (or police action or whatever lol). Probably a couple $100 billion more than the figure on the books. If what you’all are writing about what is happening on the ground is true, I’d be buying rubles vs euro/dollar etc …. its gonna rip higher.
Evidently not allowed to buy Rubles. A friend of mine tried. Precious metals, yes, rubles no. I guess only foreign alies can trade with russia for rubles, rupees, yuan, etc. but the regular person cannot purchase/invest in rubles.
Map of developing “cauldron”.
Hope the Ukrainian army surrenders, even if it means pointing guns at their Nazi comrades.
https://twitter.com/GeromanAT/status/1503093943315042304/photo/2
Of course Russia is winning the war militarily. How could it not. That was baked in the cake by the US instigators months ago. The Empire’s objective is not to win militarily. As Caitlin Johnstone says, “The goal is to use economic warfare and a costly counterinsurgency against western-backed Ukrainians to either collapse and balkanize the Russian Federation or foment enough discontent to secure regime change in Moscow.” The Empire is not maintained by “Continental Warfare”–a concept easily understood but irrelevant to US dominance. It is maintained by subversion, proxy forces, lies, death squads, corruption, information dominance and economic leverage. This strategy is not stupid–vile and immoral, yes–but not stupid. In fact it has worked quite well for decades. And frankly, without China at Russia’s back, it would likely work in this case as well.
I went on the mirror uk website as I saw a link in Telegram about the west talking about all manner of tripe.
It was a real eye opener to read the articles on what is essentially a trash propaganda publication.
A lot of agents with illogical minds there who deliberately mislead the audience. “Putin has already lost the war” … “Bomber advises Putin the war is lost” … “Putin asks China for more weapons”.
If ever you want to understand how much we have descended in the West, read the British and American tabloids. These vermin give humanity a bad name. God help us!
Indeed, it is an alien tactic to use one`s own basest instincts on an industrial scale, in order to gain dominance…to me it is…….
For an alien race though this concept amongst many others , seems to work.
One lovely result of the dismemberment of the Empire of Lies is, that it is undeniably, obviously collapsing on a logarithmic scale in every aspect of its appearance.
Their representatives are grotesque.
Their institutions are of negative utility.
An individual needs to do one single thing to prosper: go against the grain – buck the herd.
….and…as a consequence…
It is being discarded.
Do NOT fear this process, embrace it! Be part of it. Own it. Live it.
For a future is now possible.
I believe the most significant element of the operation in Ukraine to date is the lack of Russian aerospace forces involved. While there has been endless speculation in the Western media as to the reason for this, I believe the correct answer is the simplest: they are needed elsewhere. Think about that for a moment and let it sink in.
Mathematics is a form of logic and all logic begins with assumptions. Mathematically stated “laws” (descriptions of how things are related, aka “functions”) may follow via logic from more primitive laws or may be statements based on experience…application of the scientific method. In the above mathematically stated analysis, the assumptions do seem sound and the experimental basis for the applied law/formula do seem valid. There may however be unconsidered variables missing from this law and some of the assumptions may be wrong. I do concur for now though that the probability is very high that Ukraine is a lost cause. However, that doesn’t mean that the West failed in its use of the Ukrainian pawn…The West may actually have “won”, accomplished their goals, goals which are at a higher level or different area of concern than the sacrifice of the Ukrainian pawn, and at the same time the West may have lost because they were pursuing foolish goals and may not have actually even achieved those goals they were pursuing. It is all a global power chess game, always with a bit of unpredictability.
What’s for sure is that Ukraine has been used as a pawn, and sacrificed by the West. If we want to assess morality, isn’t that a far less decent act than what Russia was driven to do? In war, there is never anyone 100% morally clean, but the greater immorality for this war falls on the West…not that they really care about accurate-true moral assessments of course, but they do of course care about being perceived as the most moral.
All that remains is entrenched infantry. That is not so easy to dislodge if they are determined to fight to the death. The Knights of St. John held out for 90 days against 20,000 Turks with only 600 defenders. It appears the Ukrainians were thoroughly brainwashed over the past 8 years. This operation should have been done 6 years ago.
What is b,c,d and e?
Did not find the reference in the article.
there is a Typo.
Suplies is a)
Airports is b)
Ports is c)
etc…
Supplies deppend on al the others… a) depend on b), c), d) etc
One great gift is to understand give space to critic. How can one believe that latest given Ukie military personal loss figures (15,704 soldiers) is really whole truth and nothing but the truth? Is it based on secret Ukie own source(s) or Russian claim? If it’s Russian claim we can be sure based on military history that it’s most likely exaggeration. If it’s based on Ukie sources then real losses are bigger, near 20,000.
https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/32695
I want these people to get out of my life.
…and I have no legal means to do it…
…Where do I enlist?
NO.
Seriously…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TcOJh6hzzj8
Defund the Russian Military!!!
For Our youngest amateur meteorologist accordingly…freda garbo…or brenda fargo…greenberg farkwoth…or greenberg fartberg…
I apologise…for making fun of Thunderfart Holoberg.
well…save something already. Dont just stand there…
Home school!
Please…:-)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4iYNRd-p5As
the united planet of israhell…sideswiped ukraine and Russia.
Their God better be with them….down the ravine all the way…
See why it is somewhat an unattainable goal even over a mechanised invasion?
It is this ancient hatred. The people of Hate. That is their raison`d entre. Thiat is what they do. This is what they are. There is nothing else, that they do – they hate, fear. scam and poison.
This is what they are.
….and now…they are shitting their panties…
They thought, they have everything papered over: the scared masked ones, reaching for science, oh my….my people, relax. The pandemic is ovah.
Now You need to enlist. Even if You do not, enlist for the hate EVERYTHING Russian.
You shall be compensated.
….
Enlist in the hate of bolshevism…which never was “bolshe”vism….because “bolshe” means the majority of the of. They have just faked it.
….and they are still at it.
Listen to the speech up above.
AM I lying?
The Russian military continues its efforts to enter and clear the besieged cities of Ukraine on the two fronts of southeastern and northeastern Ukraine.
The industrial city of Kharkiv, Ukraine’s second largest city, is less than 25 km from the Russian border, and most military experts thought it would fall on the first day with a major Russian military offensive, but strangely enough, it continued to fall after After 19 days, the Russian army resisted and its defenders refused to surrender. In the besieged port of Mariupol, units of the Russian army managed to enter some neighborhoods of the city, but still failed to capture the city despite the stubborn resistance of Ukrainian forces.
Some Western media outlets, such as the Financial Times, The Washington Post and The New York Times, have quoted US government sources as claiming that the Russian government has requested military assistance from China to continue fighting on Ukrainian soil.
As long as Putin remains as a petty zionist servant, then continue to go down the tube. Putin is using Iran as a chip to beg concession from the West and the zionist. Death to enemy of Iran, down with Putin a behind kisser of Israel and jewish mafia who are his handlers.
Calm down, concern troll. You want the Russians to kill Russians now to fit into your CIA narrative? That’s bonkers, man.
Despite the content, somehow I kept reading …
An expert on Stalin discusses Putin, Russia, and the West.
https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/stephen-kotkin-putin-russia-ukraine-stalin
Haxo Angmark wrote:
“Russians leave, in response to Uke promises to not do this, that, and the other thing. …the moment the last Russian soldier leaves, the Ukes will once again cut off the water to Crimea and start shelling the Donbass.”
Does anyone know how Russia will verify and enforce Ukrainian compliance with any prospective agreement?
https://kuruc.info/j/461/2012/szlavbabok22031308.jpg
Who is jewish in the above pic.
A: all of them
B: every single one
C: You are a nazi
Tragedy has struck the heart of Donetsk with claims of an intercepted Tochka U missle causing significant destruction with scores of civilians dead on the scene!?
I saw claims of possible Uragan/Smerch attack also targeting the Administration Building but whatever hit has killed many children and elderly judging from the early footage…?
May the Lord have mercy on their souls!!! T__T
https://t-me.translate.goog/svodki_opolcheniya/4708?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp
https://t-me.translate.goog/RVvoenkor/3660?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp
This has to stop! After Mariupol RF should push immediately for the Donbass cauldron.
Brazilian guys
If those 4 blokes are the best the West can muster in terms of a fighting force, the Russians need not worry. Listening to the bearded one it becomes clear he had no effing idea what awaited them. Out-of-college-guys, no fighting experience whatsoever, probably sucked in by false propaganda info (which is in overdrive also in Brazil) and the incentive of a huge payday down the line.
What they wrote on the telegram pic is also funny.
“Those three are true warriors!”
You idiots must have come in straight from a birthday party in Sao Paulo.
Total buffoons.
There are wild ridiculous claims of internet warriors that RF and DPR has lost 16,000 soldiers KIA/deceased. We are now in reality show similar to those of B-17 gunners and WW2 ground attack aircraft pilots “wiping out enemy AFV” claims.
What is however revealing is relatively low numbers of captured Ukie soldiers (less than a thousand). However i don’t know how many have not even counted but given permission: “just go home if living in RF secured area”.
I have no idea of losses both RF/DPR and Ukies. We will get better picture few years later by real objective military historians. If even then. This war have been built by myths, lies and fantasies and the legend of “brave Ukies” has already started to live its wild life.
Check, Check and again Check.
Coffee or Die Magazine’ Journalist, Nolan Peterson on Twitter:
“From an American volunteer on the front lines outside of Kyiv:
— “Sitting close to the frontline, the last safe mode of transportation leaves for greener pastures.
A core group of about 30 foreign fighters remains out of around 200 people who were here just minutes ago…””
— “”The base we came from was struck by rockets in the early morning hours. People we lived with for a couple days are confirmed dead.
It is only a matter of time before our location is targeted. We are about to be cut off by a Russian tank column any day now…””
— ” “Food, water, and ammunition dwindle slowly.The mood is somber, people are sending their last messages to friends and family.”
“Where is NATO? Where is the supposed good of western civilization?” ”
— “An important note: this American is a special ops veteran who completed combat deployments to Afghanistan.
He came to Ukraine before Russia’s full-scale war on Feb. 24.
He is an experienced, well-trained soldier who gave up his lucrative career in the US in order to help Ukraine”
Are your mentally ready to read few years later the most fabricated military history written ever: “Russian military failure in Ukraine 2022”? Because the true story would be told after the demise of both NATO and EU. It’s similar to claim that Soviet Union was victorious loser of WW2. Millions of people believe it in west.